2013 College Football Top 25: Week 1

Sports

Now that the first week of the college football season is in the books, here is a look at the top 25 best teams according to my rating system.

Keep in mind, due the small sample size of only one game, these numbers are heavily influenced by their preseason projections. As the weeks go on, the projections will slowly fade away, and the real talent will be all that’s left. Also, if you would like to know where the other 100 FBS teams fall in the ratings, click here.

Top 25

Ranking Team Offense+ Defense+ Total+ Schedule Win% Last Wk
1 Oklahoma State 128 132 130 124 178 7
2 Florida State 133 125 129 127 178 27
3 Georgia 150 108 129 147 0 6
4 LSU 129 129 129 141 178 12
5 Alabama 115 142 128 129 178 1
6 Mississippi 135 119 127 136 178 8
7 Oregon 131 113 122 59 178 2
8 Baylor 130 111 121 88 178 19
9 South Carolina 116 125 120 113 178 21
10 Washington 116 124 120 120 178 28
11 Texas 125 112 119 77 178 3
12 Northwestern 114 124 119 125 178 17
13 Notre Dame 112 125 118 97 178 4
14 Arizona 118 119 118 85 178 22
15 Georgia Tech 125 112 118 72 178 26
16 Texas A&M 132 100 116 102 178 11
17 USC 100 132 116 108 178 18
18 Stanford 110 122 116 0 N/A 5
19 Wisconsin 118 114 116 76 178 10
20 TCU 107 124 115 140 0 16
21 Utah State 118 113 115 128 0 13
22 Northern Illinois 120 110 115 128 178 43
23 Virginia Tech 104 125 114 158 0 59
24 BYU 102 124 113 124 0 30
25 Clemson 129 97 113 133 178 46

Noteworthy

  • Probably the most eye-catching thing is the fact that Alabama went from preseason #1 to the now #5 best team in the nation. Their defense still rates as tops in the nation, but their offense did not do enough against Virginia Tech to keep them in the top spot. Of course, they are only 2% below the #1 team after the first week, so it’s not like the numbers hate them.
  • So, hey there, Oklahoma State. The preseason numbers already liked their offense, but the fact that they held Mississippi State to 3 points was enough to move them from the preseason #7 spot to #1. Like Alabama not being on top, however, we will just have to wait and see how long this lasts.
  • Hello, Jameis Winston! Florida State’s performance at Pitt last night vaults them from just outside the preseason top 25 and into the second place position.
  • Georgia’s offense rates as, by far, the best unit in the nation after week 1. It will be interesting to see how much the loss of Malcolm Mitchell effects this explosive offense going forward.
  • Washington’s 38-6 drubbing of Boise State was enough to move them from #28 all the way down to #10. Was this a preview of things to come?
  • The projections were extremely down on Virginia Tech’s offense before the season started. Thanks to playing Alabama, their strength-of-schedule-adjusted offensive rating jumped to above average, moving them into the top 25 from the #59 ranking. Their defense looks legit, but I still have my doubts about the offense.

State of Iowa

I’m from Iowa, so every week I’m going to throw in a blurb about the Hawkeyes and the Cyclones, seeing as neither of them are going to sniff the top 25 this season.

  • #67 Iowa– As odd as it sounds, the Hawkeyes looked better than last year’s version, but they lost in an all too similar manner to Northern Illinois on Saturday. As a result, they take a bit of a tumble from the preseason #54 ranking to #67 after their first game. Like I said, this Hawkeye team showed glimpses of having an actual offensive identity on Saturday, so if they can limit big plays on defense and get things clicking on offense, they should be able to show some improvement throughout the season. However, the schedule isn’t all that favorable, so improvement may not be as visible to the naked eye as we would like.
  • #79 Iowa State– The Cyclones were one of several FBS teams to be knocked off by an FCS foe this past week. The defense still looks to be the strength of this team, although Sam Richardson showed flashes of being pretty good, too. That offensive line, though, gave up way too many negative plays against an FCS team. They may want to get that tightened up.
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