College Football Picks: Week 3

Sports

Below are your week 3 picks based upon the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 2 Results

  • Head-to-Head 82.50% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 42.50% Correct

Season Head-to-Head Results

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 16 9 64.00%
60%-69.9% 22 1 95.65%
70%-79.9% 13 5 72.22%
80%-89.9% 11 1 91.67%
90%-100% 6 0 100.00%
Total 68 16 80.95%

Week 3 Picks

Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
TCU 27 45.40%
Texas Tech 29 54.60%
Troy 24 22.11%
Arkansas State 44 77.89%
Tulane 25 41.01%
Louisiana Tech 31 58.99%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Air Force 20 14.65%
Boise State 44 85.35%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Stanford 37 77.69%
Army 22 22.31%
Louisville 31 57.59%
Kentucky 27 42.41%
Akron 17 9.16%
Michigan 48 90.84%
Tulsa 19 23.20%
Oklahoma 35 76.80%
UCLA 33 42.29%
Nebraska 38 57.71%
Bowling Green 34 50.31%
Indiana 33 49.69%
Virginia Tech 26 62.59%
East Carolina 18 37.41%
Georgia State 14 -0.66%
West Virginia 48 100.66%
Southern Miss 12 8.45%
Arkansas 36 91.55%
Louisiana-Monroe 23 44.62%
Wake Forest 24 55.38%
New Mexico 25 23.90%
Pittsburgh 40 76.10%
Eastern Michigan 21 17.89%
Rutgers 41 82.11%
Fresno State 31 51.06%
Colorado 30 48.94%
Boston College 12 22.08%
USC 24 77.92%
Alabama 32 51.63%
Texas A&M 25 48.37%
Tennessee 19 -5.54%
Oregon 48 105.54%
Nevada 20 5.06%
Florida State 60 94.94%
Georgia Tech 32 59.73%
Duke 28 40.27%
Ball State 27 40.26%
North Texas 32 59.74%
Northern Illinois 42 83.71%
Idaho 19 16.29%
UCF 24 41.75%
Penn State 29 58.25%
Washington 37 69.82%
Illinois 25 30.18%
Iowa 25 43.38%
Iowa State 29 56.62%
Ohio State 35 68.28%
California 24 31.72%
Kent State 18 7.24%
LSU 52 92.76%
Vanderbilt 20 8.21%
South Carolina 48 91.79%
Mississippi State 21 33.73%
Auburn 30 66.27%
Florida Atlantic 20 36.31%
South Florida 25 63.69%
Massachussetts 11 -1.11%
Kansas State 54 101.11%
Memphis 24 33.06%
Middle Tennessee 31 66.94%
W. Kentucky 27.13 50.48%
South Alabama 26.93 49.52%
Maryland 26 55.15%
Connecticut 22 44.85%
Kansas 24 20.31%
Rice 46 79.69%
Notre Dame 30 70.35%
Purdue 18 29.65%
Mississippi 26 25.72%
Texas 38 74.28%
UTEP 31 52.26%
New Mexico State 30 47.74%
Marshall 29.59 48.66%
Ohio 30.26 51.34%
Western Michigan 13 7.80%
Northwestern 43 92.20%
Oregon State 27 30.41%
Utah 40 69.59%
Central Michigan 25 35.83%
UNLV 33 64.17%
Wisconsin 25 34.42%
Arizona State 29 65.58%
UTSA 21 14.02%
Arizona 47 85.98%
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s