College Football Picks: Week 6

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Below are your week 6 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 5 Results

  • Head-to-Head 66.67% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 50% Correct

Season Results

Head-to-Head

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 32 27 54.24%
60%-69.9% 42 15 73.68%
70%-79.9% 38 8 82.61%
80%-89.9% 34 2 94.44%
90%-100% 23 0 100.00%
Total 169 52 76.47%

Against the Spread

  • 108-110-3 (49.54%)

Week 6 Picks

Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Texas 32 52.97%
Iowa State 31 47.03%
Western Kentucky 26 55.74%
Louisiana-Monroe 21 44.26%
UCLA 28 19.01%
Utah 46 80.99%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
BYU 16 5.56%
Utah State 38 94.44%
Nevada 27 34.42%
San Diego State 31 65.58%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Air Force 31 19.43%
Navy 56 80.57%
Michigan State 14 24.03%
Iowa 25 75.97%
Louisville 40 81.27%
Temple 20 18.73%
Maryland 19 0.77%
Florida State 35 99.23%
Texas Tech 24 58.75%
Kansas 19 41.25%
Penn State 28 38.64%
Indiana 34 61.36%
Illinois 32 29.49%
Nebraska 47 70.51%
Ball State 23 38.49%
Virginia 28 61.51%
Eastern Michigan 21 11.96%
Buffalo 43 88.04%
Rutgers 25 44.79%
SMU 28 55.21%
Georgia State 5 0.12%
Alabama 73 99.88%
North Carolina 4 0.00%
Virginia Tech 33 100.00%
Army 20 20.00%
Boston College 38 80.00%
Central Michigan 17 19.56%
Miami (Ohio) 27 80.44%
South Alabama 32 47.95%
Troy 36 52.05%
UTSA 22 16.29%
Marshall 45 83.71%
Ohio 26 39.03%
Akron 32 60.97%
Florida Atlantic 21 33.42%
UAB 35 66.58%
Western Michigan 13 10.33%
Toledo 39 89.67%
Clemson 28 46.31%
Syracuse 31 53.69%
Georgia 43 84.56%
Tennessee 28 15.44%
Georgia Tech 22 27.67%
Miami (Florida) 33 72.33%
Minnesota 20 27.66%
Michigan 33 72.34%
Kansas State 19 12.80%
Oklahoma State 42 87.20%
North Carolina State 21 55.59%
Wake Forest 17 44.41%
Massachusetts 16 9.48%
Bowling Green 43 90.52%
Rice 24 44.23%
Tulsa 27 55.77%
Northern Illinois 43 76.33%
Kent State 25 23.67%
East Carolina 26.14 50.31%
Middle Tennessee 25.81 49.69%
North Texas 21 42.77%
Tulane 23 57.23%
Washington State 28 64.59%
California 20 35.41%
Florida International 15 0.00%
Southern Mississippi 18 100.00%
UCF 29 61.62%
Memphis 22 38.38%
Fresno State 40 72.62%
Idaho 25 27.38%
Oregon 47 100.00%
Colorado 16 0.00%
LSU 34.07 54.81%
Mississippi State 33.54 45.19%
TCU 21.19 49.71%
Oklahoma 21.45 50.29%
Arkansas 12 18.19%
Florida 29 81.81%
Mississippi 31 64.20%
Auburn 24 35.80%
Cincinnati 27 69.48%
South Florida 15 30.52%
New Mexico State 26 2.77%
New Mexico 50 97.23%
Texas State 22 30.67%
Louisiana-Lafayette 31 69.33%
Kentucky 18 7.90%
South Carolina 46 92.10%
Arizona State 36 63.50%
Notre Dame 31 36.50%
Missouri 33 49.02%
Vanderbilt 34 50.98%
Louisiana Tech 23 44.09%
UTEP 34 55.91%
Ohio State 34 61.84%
Northwestern 29 38.16%
West Virginia 14 2.32%
Baylor 27 97.68%
Washington 25 30.67%
Stanford 27 69.33%
Sunday Proj. Score Win Probability
San Jose State 18 46.35%
Hawai’i 19 53.65%
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