College Football Picks: Week 7

Sports

Below are your week 7 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 6 Results

  • Head-to-Head 68.52% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 45.28% Correct

Season Results

Head-to-Head

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 40 34 54.05%
60%-69.9% 49 20 71.01%
70%-79.9% 43 9 82.69%
80%-89.9% 43 4 91.49%
90%-100% 31 2 93.94%
Total 206 69 74.91%

Against the Spread

  • 132-139-4 (48.71%)

Week 7 Picks

Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Rutgers 16 2.92%
Louisville 47 97.08%
San Diego State 29 33.48%
Air Force 43 66.52%
Arizona 19 36.67%
USC 26 63.33%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Temple 17 19.67%
Cincinnati 33 80.33%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Iowa State 19 24.37%
Texas Tech 33 75.63%
Missouri 33 0.00%
Georgia 53 100.00%
Oklahoma 26 32.90%
Texas 33 67.10%
Pittsburgh 7 4.75%
Virginia Tech 34 95.25%
South Florida 11 33.12%
Connecticut 17 66.88%
Indiana 22 41.65%
Michigan State 28 58.35%
Memphis 17 19.62%
Houston 35 80.38%
Eastern Michigan 23 9.09%
Army 47 90.91%
Nebraska 37 71.95%
Purdue 22 28.05%
Kansas 5 0.00%
TCU 43 100.00%
South Carolina 29 46.53%
Arkansas 32 53.47%
Navy 34 51.84%
Duke 33 48.16%
Central Michigan 13 10.17%
Ohio 36 89.83%
Buffalo 25 51.88%
Western Michigan 21 48.12%
Miami (Ohio) 16 27.48%
Massachusetts 24 72.52%
Kent State 21 12.75%
Ball State 50 87.25%
Boston College 20 6.56%
Clemson 48 93.44%
Florida 19 0.00%
LSU 22 100.00%
Baylor 38 80.36%
Kansas State 24 19.64%
Northwestern 25 27.49%
Wisconsin 38 72.51%
San Jose State 25 34.54%
Colorado State 35 65.46%
Virginia 15 21.16%
Maryland 30 78.84%
Syracuse 23 42.50%
North Carolina State 26 57.50%
Troy 35 57.47%
Georgia State 28 42.53%
East Carolina 24 53.48%
Tulane 21 46.52%
New Mexico 33 20.50%
Wyoming 55 79.50%
Oregon 28 84.70%
Washington 25 15.30%
Rice 26 46.07%
UTSA 30 53.93%
Michigan 22 38.89%
Penn State 27 61.11%
Akron 19 11.52%
Northern Illinois 48 88.48%
Marshall 23 55.35%
Florida Atlantic 20 44.65%
Stanford 31 53.32%
Utah 30 46.68%
Alabama 34 68.47%
Kentucky 23 31.53%
Middle Tennessee 17 28.94%
North Texas 28 71.06%
Georgia Tech 22 42.97%
BYU 26 57.03%
Louisiana-Monroe 11 9.62%
Texas State 32 90.38%
Idaho 17 1.90%
Arkansas State 50 98.10%
Bowling Green 22 13.71%
Mississippi State 49 86.29%
UAB 36 68.47%
Florida International 22 31.53%
Boise State 20 11.68%
Utah State 46 88.32%
Hawai’i 15 0.00%
UNLV 31 100.00%
Tulsa 37 57.92%
UTEP 32 42.08%
Texas A&M 31 25.54%
Mississippi 46 74.46%
Colorado 18 6.72%
Arizona State 51 93.28%
California 17 8.34%
UCLA 50 91.66%
Oregon State 18 21.07%
Washington State 36 78.93%
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