College Football Picks: Week 8

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Below are your week 8 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 7 Results

  • Head-to-Head 70.00% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 42.00% Correct

Season Results

Head-to-Head

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 46 40 53.49%
60%-69.9% 54 23 70.13%
70%-79.9% 50 11 81.97%
80%-89.9% 50 6 89.29%
90%-100% 41 4 91.11%
Total 241 84 74.15%

Against the Spread

  • 153-168-4 (47.66%)

Week 8 Picks

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Louisiana-Lafayette 34 54.94%
Western Kentucky 31 45.06%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Miami (Florida) 34 76.75%
North Carolina 19 23.25%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
UCF 16 6.74%
Louisville 32 93.26%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
South Carolina 32 56.02%
Tennessee 30 43.98%
Georgia 50 76.56%
Vanderbilt 37 23.44%
Texas Tech 21 45.65%
West Virginia 23 54.35%
TCU 17 24.93%
Oklahoma State 21 75.07%
Minnesota 21 20.59%
Northwestern 40 79.41%
Purdue 11 7.38%
Michigan State 38 92.62%
Southern Mississippi 6 0.00%
East Carolina 41 100.00%
SMU 22 38.70%
Memphis 25 61.30%
Connecticut 13 23.26%
Cincinnati 27 76.74%
Navy 24 25.46%
Toledo 39 74.54%
Florida 19 10.42%
Missouri 21 89.58%
Syracuse 24 33.92%
Georgia Tech 32 66.08%
Akron 23 53.77%
Miami (Ohio) 17 46.23%
Army 31 42.75%
Temple 34 57.25%
Ohio 34 78.71%
Eastern Michigan 24 21.29%
Ball State 33 76.43%
Western Michigan 15 23.57%
Colorado State 30 32.40%
Wyoming 43 67.60%
Northern Illinois 34 70.56%
Central Michigan 21 29.44%
Kent State 25 26.31%
South Alabama 39 73.69%
Auburn 35 25.28%
Texas A&M 46 74.72%
Iowa 19 13.01%
Ohio State 34 86.99%
UCLA 24 13.13%
Stanford 37 86.87%
Oklahoma 23 66.72%
Kansas 14 33.28%
Indiana 27 44.20%
Michigan 32 55.80%
Maryland 22 54.07%
Wake Forest 18 45.93%
BYU 22 38.41%
Houston 25 61.59%
Duke 26 40.61%
Virginia 31 59.39%
Massachusetts 15 18.88%
Buffalo 32 81.12%
North Texas 24 60.96%
Louisiana Tech 18 39.04%
Washington 32 38.99%
Arizona State 33 61.01%
Arkansas 16 2.53%
Alabama 44 97.47%
LSU 35 67.10%
Mississippi 34 32.90%
Iowa State 21 0.00%
Baylor 56 100.00%
Georgia State 13 4.67%
Texas State 33 95.33%
USC 23 26.18%
Notre Dame 29 73.82%
Wisconsin 39 62.76%
Illinois 31 37.24%
Florida State 31 64.80%
Clemson 27 35.20%
Nevada 25 10.47%
Boise State 59 89.53%
Rice 35 90.14%
New Mexico State 19 9.86%
Utah State 32 65.84%
New Mexico 23 34.16%
Washington State 14 0.00%
Oregon 46 100.00%
UNLV 27 20.36%
Fresno State 50 79.64%
Utah 30.05 50.73%
Arizona 29.93 49.27%
Oregon State 40 65.99%
California 30 34.01%
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