College Football Picks: Week 9

Sports

Below are your week 9 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 8 Results

  • Head-to-Head 72.34% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 44.68% Correct

Season Results

Head-to-Head

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 50 45 52.63%
60%-69.9% 62 27 69.66%
70%-79.9% 60 14 81.08%
80%-89.9% 55 6 90.16%
90%-100% 48 5 90.57%
Total 275 97 73.92%

Against the Spread

  • 174-193-5 (47.41%)

Week 8 Picks

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Louisiana-Lafayette 39 62.27%
Arkansas State 32 37.73%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Kentucky 27 23.84%
Mississippi State 46 76.16%
Marshall 21 47.43%
Middle Tennessee 22 52.57%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Boise State 21 28.07%
BYU 34 71.93%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Northwestern 18 26.01%
Iowa 31 73.99%
Oklahoma State 33 71.11%
Iowa State 20 28.89%
Wake Forest 11 6.84%
Miami (Florida) 35 93.16%
Louisville 30 86.84%
South Florida 9 13.16%
Connecticut 9 3.86%
UCF 43 96.14%
Nebraska 30.63 49.15%
Minnesota 31.30 50.85%
Houston 27 52.63%
Rutgers 26 47.37%
Ball State 30 53.31%
Akron 27 46.69%
Vanderbilt 37 24.93%
Texas A&M 54 75.07%
Georgia Tech 32 68.21%
Virginia 22 31.79%
Pittsburgh 29 36.22%
Navy 38 63.78%
Miami (Ohio) 12 10.22%
Ohio 34 89.78%
Toledo 34 53.27%
Bowling Green 32 46.73%
Western Michigan 13 19.37%
Massachusetts 20 80.63%
Temple 22 26.61%
SMU 37 73.39%
Tennessee 16 0.00%
Alabama 42 100.00%
North Carolina State 12 0.00%
Florida State 46 100.00%
Clemson 28 64.08%
Maryland 21 35.92%
Texas Tech 21 34.91%
Oklahoma 29 65.09%
Duke 11 12.55%
Virginia Tech 33 87.45%
Eastern Michigan 19 0.00%
Northern Illinois 66 100.00%
Boston College 26 43.25%
North Carolina 30 56.75%
UTEP 23 3.29%
Rice 49 96.71%
Michigan State 30 51.82%
Illinois 28 48.18%
Buffalo 26 46.13%
Kent State 30 53.87%
Tulsa 18 27.23%
Tulane 28 72.77%
West Virginia 21 33.41%
Kansas State 30 66.59%
Utah 24 45.52%
USC 27 54.48%
Troy 26 21.79%
Western Kentucky 40 78.21%
Notre Dame 39 73.05%
Air Force 26 26.95%
UAB 32 29.90%
UTSA 44 70.10%
Louisiana Tech 23 74.14%
Florida International 16 25.86%
UNLV 37 39.16%
Nevada 47 60.84%
UCLA 20 0.00%
Oregon 43 100.00%
South Carolina 22 0.00%
Missouri 41 100.00%
Baylor 35 96.46%
Kansas 15 3.54%
Wyoming 27 31.31%
San Jose State 37 68.69%
South Alabama 24 40.05%
Texas State 27 59.95%
Georgia State 18 16.20%
Louisiana-Monroe 24 83.80%
North Texas 27 87.22%
Southern Mississippi 9 12.78%
Florida Atlantic 16 8.83%
Auburn 45 91.17%
Idaho 11 0.22%
Mississippi 66 99.78%
Texas 12 22.44%
TCU 26 77.56%
Penn State 22 13.52%
Ohio State 41 86.48%
Arizona 32 63.22%
Colorado 24 36.78%
Stanford 35 69.83%
Oregon State 25 30.17%
Fresno State 33 55.84%
San Diego State 29 44.16%
California 15 1.71%
Washington 63 98.29%
Colorado State 27 50.99%
Hawai’i 23 49.01%
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