College Football Picks: Week 10

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Below are your week 10 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 9 Results

  • Straight Up 86.79% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 54.72% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 61 46 57.01%
60%-69.9% 71 28 71.72%
70%-79.9% 70 16 81.40%
80%-89.9% 60 8 88.24%
90%-100% 59 6 90.77%
Total 321 104 75.53%

Week 10 Picks after the jump.

Week 10 Picks

Wednesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Cincinnati 20.15 50.49%
Memphis 19.70 49.51%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
South Florida 8 6.41%
Houston 35 93.59%
Rice 19 30.81%
North Texas 29 69.19%
Louisiana-Monroe 20 29.87%
Troy 34 70.13%
Arizona State 33 76.67%
Washington State 24 23.33%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
USC 26 51.54%
Oregon State 22 48.46%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Wisconsin 26 49.91%
Iowa 28 50.09%
Ohio State 41 90.69%
Purdue 14 9.31%
Virginia Tech 20 51.62%
Boston College 14 48.38%
Northern Illinois 36 74.74%
Massachusetts 19 25.26%
Temple 24 31.13%
Rutgers 34 68.87%
Illinois 29 27.74%
Penn State 44 72.26%
Army 35 43.95%
Air Force 41 56.05%
Mississipp State 24 17.34%
South Carolina 44 82.66%
Tennessee 17 -5.70%
Missouri 42 105.70%
Auburn 35 63.25%
Arkansas 28 36.75%
North Carolina 21 37.44%
North Carolina State 28 62.56%
Wake Forest 18 30.91%
Syracuse 28 69.09%
Southern Mississippi 6 -3.88%
Marshall 42 103.88%
Middle Tennessee 33 59.30%
UAB 31 40.70%
Western Kentucky 30 66.70%
Georgia State 21 33.30%
Iowa State 22 21.34%
Kansas State 41 78.66%
Clemson 30 64.25%
Virginia 22 35.75%
Michigan 18 30.00%
Michigan State 28 70.00%
Northwestern 24 37.46%
Nebraska 31 62.54%
Arizona 42 78.08%
California 24 21.92%
Georgia 19 43.17%
Florida 28 56.83%
Minnesota 29 25.56%
Indiana 46 74.44%
Navy 22 22.17%
Notre Dame 40 77.83%
UTSA 26 38.23%
Tulsa 30 61.77%
Kansas 13 7.05%
Texas 39 92.95%
Kent State 26 30.85%
Akron 34 69.15%
West Virginia 10 16.34%
TCU 25 83.66%
Hawai’i 11 5.96%
Utah State 41 94.04%
San Jose State 30 37.89%
UNLV 39 62.11%
Texas State 26 70.65%
Idaho 20 29.35%
New Mexico State 15 -1.94%
Louisiana-Lafayette 61 101.94%
Tulane 19 45.74%
Florida Atlantic 21 54.26%
East Carolina 36 90.56%
Florida International 11 9.44%
Oklahoma State 29 63.36%
Texas Tech 21 36.64%
Pittsburgh 21 19.97%
Georgia Tech 40 80.03%
Eastern Michigan 19 -1.12%
Toledo 70 101.12%
Colorado 18 9.68%
UCLA 45 90.32%
Arkansas State 30 36.26%
South Alabama 39 63.74%
Miami (Florida) 18 -39.21%
Florida State 38 139.21%
New Mexico 31 26.49%
San Diego State 42 73.51%
Boise State 33.70 51.05%
Colorado State 33.60 48.95%
UTEP 23 0.37%
Texas A&M 89 99.63%
Nevada 27 16.48%
Fresno State 53 83.52%
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