Below are your week 10 picks based on the ratings.
These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.
If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.
Week 9 Results
- Straight Up– 86.79% Correct
- Against the Spread- 54.72% Correct
Season Results
Straight Up
| Win Probability | Correct | Wrong | % Correct |
| 50%-59.9% | 61 | 46 | 57.01% |
| 60%-69.9% | 71 | 28 | 71.72% |
| 70%-79.9% | 70 | 16 | 81.40% |
| 80%-89.9% | 60 | 8 | 88.24% |
| 90%-100% | 59 | 6 | 90.77% |
| Total | 321 | 104 | 75.53% |
Week 10 Picks after the jump.
Week 10 Picks
| Wednesday | Proj. Score | Win Probability |
| Cincinnati | 20.15 | 50.49% |
| Memphis | 19.70 | 49.51% |
| Thursday | Proj. Score | Win Probability |
| South Florida | 8 | 6.41% |
| Houston | 35 | 93.59% |
| Rice | 19 | 30.81% |
| North Texas | 29 | 69.19% |
| Louisiana-Monroe | 20 | 29.87% |
| Troy | 34 | 70.13% |
| Arizona State | 33 | 76.67% |
| Washington State | 24 | 23.33% |
| Friday | Proj. Score | Win Probability |
| USC | 26 | 51.54% |
| Oregon State | 22 | 48.46% |
| Saturday | Proj. Score | Win Probability |
| Wisconsin | 26 | 49.91% |
| Iowa | 28 | 50.09% |
| Ohio State | 41 | 90.69% |
| Purdue | 14 | 9.31% |
| Virginia Tech | 20 | 51.62% |
| Boston College | 14 | 48.38% |
| Northern Illinois | 36 | 74.74% |
| Massachusetts | 19 | 25.26% |
| Temple | 24 | 31.13% |
| Rutgers | 34 | 68.87% |
| Illinois | 29 | 27.74% |
| Penn State | 44 | 72.26% |
| Army | 35 | 43.95% |
| Air Force | 41 | 56.05% |
| Mississipp State | 24 | 17.34% |
| South Carolina | 44 | 82.66% |
| Tennessee | 17 | -5.70% |
| Missouri | 42 | 105.70% |
| Auburn | 35 | 63.25% |
| Arkansas | 28 | 36.75% |
| North Carolina | 21 | 37.44% |
| North Carolina State | 28 | 62.56% |
| Wake Forest | 18 | 30.91% |
| Syracuse | 28 | 69.09% |
| Southern Mississippi | 6 | -3.88% |
| Marshall | 42 | 103.88% |
| Middle Tennessee | 33 | 59.30% |
| UAB | 31 | 40.70% |
| Western Kentucky | 30 | 66.70% |
| Georgia State | 21 | 33.30% |
| Iowa State | 22 | 21.34% |
| Kansas State | 41 | 78.66% |
| Clemson | 30 | 64.25% |
| Virginia | 22 | 35.75% |
| Michigan | 18 | 30.00% |
| Michigan State | 28 | 70.00% |
| Northwestern | 24 | 37.46% |
| Nebraska | 31 | 62.54% |
| Arizona | 42 | 78.08% |
| California | 24 | 21.92% |
| Georgia | 19 | 43.17% |
| Florida | 28 | 56.83% |
| Minnesota | 29 | 25.56% |
| Indiana | 46 | 74.44% |
| Navy | 22 | 22.17% |
| Notre Dame | 40 | 77.83% |
| UTSA | 26 | 38.23% |
| Tulsa | 30 | 61.77% |
| Kansas | 13 | 7.05% |
| Texas | 39 | 92.95% |
| Kent State | 26 | 30.85% |
| Akron | 34 | 69.15% |
| West Virginia | 10 | 16.34% |
| TCU | 25 | 83.66% |
| Hawai’i | 11 | 5.96% |
| Utah State | 41 | 94.04% |
| San Jose State | 30 | 37.89% |
| UNLV | 39 | 62.11% |
| Texas State | 26 | 70.65% |
| Idaho | 20 | 29.35% |
| New Mexico State | 15 | -1.94% |
| Louisiana-Lafayette | 61 | 101.94% |
| Tulane | 19 | 45.74% |
| Florida Atlantic | 21 | 54.26% |
| East Carolina | 36 | 90.56% |
| Florida International | 11 | 9.44% |
| Oklahoma State | 29 | 63.36% |
| Texas Tech | 21 | 36.64% |
| Pittsburgh | 21 | 19.97% |
| Georgia Tech | 40 | 80.03% |
| Eastern Michigan | 19 | -1.12% |
| Toledo | 70 | 101.12% |
| Colorado | 18 | 9.68% |
| UCLA | 45 | 90.32% |
| Arkansas State | 30 | 36.26% |
| South Alabama | 39 | 63.74% |
| Miami (Florida) | 18 | -39.21% |
| Florida State | 38 | 139.21% |
| New Mexico | 31 | 26.49% |
| San Diego State | 42 | 73.51% |
| Boise State | 33.70 | 51.05% |
| Colorado State | 33.60 | 48.95% |
| UTEP | 23 | 0.37% |
| Texas A&M | 89 | 99.63% |
| Nevada | 27 | 16.48% |
| Fresno State | 53 | 83.52% |
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