College Football Picks: Week 11

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Below are your week 11 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 10 Results

  • Straight Up 79.59% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 48.98% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 67 49 57.76%
60%-69.9% 80 32 71.43%
70%-79.9% 79 18 81.44%
80%-89.9% 63 9 87.50%
90%-100% 71 6 92.21%
Total 360 114 75.95%

Week 11 Picks after the jump.

Week 11 Picks

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Bowling Green 30 67.48%
Miami (Ohio) 18 32.52%
Ohio 24 38.29%
Buffalo 30 61.71%
Wednesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Central Michigan 17 14.09%
Ball State 41 85.91%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Oklahoma 19 0.00%
Baylor 45 100.00%
Troy 24 12.17%
Louisiana-Lafayette 54 87.83%
Oregon 25 44.64%
Stanford 27 55.36%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Louisville 35 90.27%
Connecticut 17 9.73%
Air Force 39 34.51%
New Mexico 52 65.49%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Iowa 27 75.91%
Purdue 13 24.09%
TCU 25 62.75%
Iowa State 16 37.25%
Florida State 37 100.00%
Wake Forest 13 0.00%
Missouri 41 85.68%
Kentucky 22 14.32%
Auburn 28 48.26%
Tennessee 30 51.74%
Kansas State 27 46.99%
Texas Tech 28 53.01%
Vanderbilt 16 26.53%
Florida 29 73.47%
Penn State 26 33.17%
Minnesota 37 66.83%
UAB 22 10.60%
Marshall 50 89.40%
Western Kentucky 30 40.58%
Army 37 59.42%
SMU 24 25.03%
Cincinnati 39 74.97%
Arkansas 18 4.58%
Mississippi 51 95.42%
Virginia 19 22.35%
North Carolina 35 77.65%
Western Michigan 23 48.31%
Eastern Michigan 31 51.69%
Tulane 20 39.39%
UTSA 27 60.61%
USC 37 84.27%
California 15 15.73%
Mississippi State 31 19.18%
Texas A&M 50 80.82%
BYU 20 11.94%
Wisconsin 31 88.06%
Nevada 30 23.21%
Colorado State 49 76.79%
Illinois 33 21.68%
Indiana 58 78.32%
Syracuse 22 45.33%
Maryland 24 54.67%
Nebraska 23 28.44%
Michigan 36 71.56%
Boston College 49 92.28%
New Mexico State 20 7.72%
UTEP 15 0.00%
North Texas 49 100.00%
Hawai’i 16 15.72%
Navy 40 84.28%
Tulsa 15 15.01%
East Carolina 38 84.99%
Kansas 11 3.38%
Oklahoma State 38 96.62%
Arizona State 29 64.05%
Utah 28 35.95%
North Carolina State 22 36.31%
Duke 28 63.69%
Florida International 10 0.00%
Middle Tennessee 39 100.00%
Virginia Tech 15 27.62%
Miami (Florida) 18 72.38%
Houston 23 28.10%
UCF 32 71.90%
Texas 25 55.32%
West Virginia 23 44.68%
Southern Mississippi 8 0.00%
Louisiana Tech 26 100.00%
Arkansas State 27 50.78%
Louisiana-Monroe 25 49.22%
Colorado 20 8.65%
Washington 50 91.35%
LSU 23 9.20%
Alabama 38 90.80%
Notre Dame 27 46.66%
Pittsburgh 29 53.34%
Utah State 38 73.03%
UNLV 24 26.97%
UCLA 28 38.86%
Arizona 34 61.14%
Fresno State 38 49.82%
Wyoming 39 50.18%
San Diego State 25 27.41%
San Jose State 39 72.59%
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