College Football Picks: Week 12

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Below are your week 12 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 11 Results

  • Straight Up 80.00% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 62.00% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 72 54 57.14%
60%-69.9% 88 33 72.73%
70%-79.9% 86 22 79.63%
80%-89.9% 72 9 88.89%
90%-100% 82 6 93.18%
Total 400 124 76.34%

Against the Spread

258-260-6 (49.81%)

Week 12 Picks after the jump.

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Ohio 25 35.64%
Bowling Green 34 64.36%
Buffalo 22 21.32%
Toledo 41 78.68%
Wednesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Ball State 29 30.27%
Northern Illinois 43 69.73%
Miami (Ohio) 14 11.85%
Kent State 32 88.15%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Georgia Tech 22 29.71%
Clemson 29 70.29%
Marshall 32 69.26%
Tulsa 20 30.74%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Washington 27 26.13%
UCLA 36 73.87%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Iowa State 19 20.07%
Oklahoma 38 79.93%
Ohio State 52 85.37%
Illinois 28 14.63%
UCF 38 76.92%
Temple 21 23.08%
Indiana 23 3.69%
Wisconsin 57 96.31%
Troy 19 4.33%
Mississippi 64 95.67%
Cincinnati 24 43.63%
Rutgers 27 56.37%
Purdue 13 10.63%
Penn State 38 89.37%
West Virginia 21.15 50.24%
Kansas 20.84 49.76%
Central Michigan 21 40.21%
Western Michigan 23 59.79%
Kentucky 24 15.57%
Vanderbilt 47 84.43%
North Carolina State 21 31.48%
Boston College 28 68.52%
North Carolina 23 34.18%
Pittsburgh 31 65.82%
Maryland 7 4.87%
Virginia Tech 32 95.13%
Florida Atlantic 28 97.88%
Southern Mississippi 9 2.12%
Akron 23 51.52%
Massachusetts 21 48.48%
Washington State 22 23.67%
Arizona 34 76.33%
UAB 23 9.06%
East Carolina 54 90.94%
Louisiana-Lafayette 41 81.82%
Georgia State 20 18.18%
Connecticut 13 16.20%
SMU 35 83.80%
Syracuse 11 0.00%
Florida State 43 100.00%
Georgia 30 30.54%
Auburn 39 69.46%
Oklahoma State 24.81 44.34%
Texas 25.43 55.66%
Michigan State 24 54.75%
Nebraska 20 45.25%
Miami (Florida) 26 50.14%
Duke 25 49.86%
Michigan 18 31.30%
Northwestern 27 68.70%
TCU 15 22.87%
Kansas State 23 77.13%
South Alabama 26 22.15%
Navy 47 77.85%
Utah 18 0.00%
Oregon 35 100.00%
California 27 23.22%
Colorado 45 76.78%
Texas Tech 17 0.00%
Baylor 59 100.00%
Florida 16 15.41%
South Carolina 27 84.59%
Houston 18 24.75%
Louisville 28 75.25%
Memphis 14 43.47%
South Florida 15 56.53%
Colorado State 41.70 54.08%
New Mexico 42.07 45.92%
Louisiana Tech 14 17.52%
Rice 32 82.48%
Texas State 20 25.90%
Arkansas State 35 74.10%
Alabama 37 81.94%
Mississippi State 24 18.06%
Stanford 22 55.59%
USC 17 44.41%
Florida International 15 0.00%
UTEP 34 100.00%
Oregon State 18 0.00%
Arizona State 50 100.00%
Wyoming 25 13.66%
Boise State 54 86.34%
San Diego State 24 42.49%
Hawai’i 25 57.51%
San Jose State 34 45.92%
Nevada 39 54.08%
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