College Football Picks: Week 13

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Below are your week 13 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 12 Results

  • Straight Up 74.00% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 66.00% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 75 63 54.35%
60%-69.9% 93 35 72.66%
70%-79.9% 96 23 80.67%
80%-89.9% 82 9 90.11%
90%-100% 91 7 92.86%
Total 437 137 76.13%

Against the Spread

291-277-6 (51.23%)

Week 13 Picks after the jump.

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Buffalo 29 74.13%
Miami (Ohio) 14 25.87%
Kent State 22 27.74%
Ohio 33 72.26%
Wednesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Northern Illinois 31 29.92%
Toledo 46 70.08%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Rutgers 16 9.71%
UCF 46 90.29%
Rice 37 67.45%
UAB 30 32.55%
UNLV 38 49.93%
Air Force 41 50.07%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Navy 38 57.91%
San Jose State 33 42.09%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Michigan 20 33.77%
Iowa 27 66.23%
Michigan State 20 50.84%
Northwestern 19 49.16%
Oklahoma 22 27.81%
Kansas State 33 72.19%
Memphis 10 10.36%
Louisville 31 89.64%
Duke 24 58.82%
Wake Forest 18 41.18%
Cincinnati 17 15.95%
Houston 37 84.05%
Virginia 19 16.30%
Miami (Florida) 40 83.70%
Illinois 35 60.74%
Purdue 23 39.26%
Mississippi State 36 68.38%
Arkansas 26 31.62%
East Carolina 21 33.79%
North Carolina State 29 66.21%
Pittsburgh 23 44.10%
Syracuse 26 55.90%
Massachusetts 17 28.26%
Central Michigan 24 71.74%
Bowling Green 44 85.09%
Eastern Michigan 26 14.91%
Hawai’i 22 35.37%
Wyoming 33 64.63%
Georgia State 17 4.44%
Arkansas State 46 95.56%
New Mexico State 19 2.59%
Florida Atlantic 43 97.41%
Idaho 7 0.00%
Florida State 82 100.00%
Indiana 26 0.88%
Ohio State 64 99.12%
Oregon 37 78.84%
Arizona 23 21.16%
Texas A&M 31 10.94%
LSU 54 89.06%
Wisconsin 38 80.67%
Minnesota 23 19.33%
BYU 26 51.47%
Notre Dame 23 48.53%
Boston College 28 58.56%
Maryland 23 41.44%
Nebraska 25 38.21%
Penn State 32 61.79%
UTSA 19 24.63%
North Texas 32 75.37%
Utah 23 51.24%
Washington State 22 48.76%
Colorado State 22 17.16%
Utah State 46 82.84%
Middle Tennessee 32 96.50%
Southern Mississippi 8 3.50%
UTEP 16 2.46%
Tulane 33 97.54%
California 9 0.00%
Stanford 64 100.00%
New Mexico 31 13.53%
Fresno State 61 86.47%
Marshall 39 95.82%
Florida International 11 4.18%
Arizona State 27 58.71%
UCLA 25 41.29%
Louisiana-Monroe 19 22.47%
South Alabama 36 77.53%
SMU 23 50.40%
South Florida 17 49.60%
Kentucky 24 6.27%
Georgia 55 93.73%
Connecticut 14 18.91%
Temple 32 81.09%
Western Kentucky 23 35.97%
Texas State 29 64.03%
Tulsa 20 42.25%
Louisiana Tech 21 57.75%
Vanderbilt 27 48.06%
Tennessee 28 51.94%
Missouri 32 63.19%
Mississippi 27 36.81%
Baylor 25 46.01%
Oklahoma State 29 53.99%
Kansas 23 44.67%
Iowa State 26 55.33%
USC 34 77.96%
Colorado 18 22.04%
Washington 31 57.11%
Oregon State 29 42.89%
Boise State 34 61.18%
San Diego State 28 38.82%
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