College Football Picks: Week 14

Sports

Below are your week 14 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 13 Results

  • Straight Up 67.92% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 45.28% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 84 69 54.90%
60%-69.9% 99 39 71.74%
70%-79.9% 100 28 78.13%
80%-89.9% 89 11 89.00%
90%-100% 101 7 93.52%
Total 473 154 75.44%

Against the Spread

315-306-6 (50.72%)

Week 14 Picks after the jump.

Week 14 Picks

Tuesday Proj. Score Win Probability
Western Michigan 14 5.42%
Northern Illinois 48 94.58%
Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Texas Tech 21 17.67%
Texas 42 82.33%
Mississippi 28 35.85%
Mississippi State 35 64.15%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Iowa 23.87 47.75%
Nebraska 24.33 52.25%
SMU 17 13.54%
Houston 42 86.46%
East Carolina 28 39.82%
Marshall 34 60.18%
Toledo 35 67.56%
Akron 17 32.44%
Miami (Ohio) 11 3.28%
Ball State 44 96.72%
Bowling Green 28 45.72%
Buffalo 30 54.28%
Massachusetts 14 12.99%
Ohio 32 87.01%
Eastern Michigan 21 5.84%
Central Michigan 35 94.16%
Texas State 23 31.06%
Troy 37 68.94%
Arkansas 18 0.87%
LSU 55 99.13%
Florida International 9 0.00%
Florida Atlantic 42 100.00%
Fresno State 39 56.13%
San Jose State 36 43.87%
Washington State 20 9.73%
Washington 39 90.27%
Miami (Florida) 25 42.59%
Pittsburgh 29 57.41%
Oregon State 18 0.00%
Oregon 55 100.00%
South Florida 9 8.45%
UCF 35 91.55%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Florida State 29 100.00%
Florida 14 0.00%
Ohio State 31 74.25%
Michigan 24 25.75%
Minnesota 14 13.25%
Michigan State 35 86.75%
Duke 24 35.90%
North Carolina 31 64.10%
Rutgers 19 45.05%
Connecticut 20 54.95%
Temple 18 27.03%
Memphis 26 72.97%
Kansas State 30 67.30%
Kansas 20 32.70%
Wake Forest 12 12.23%
Vanderbilt 33 87.77%
Maryland 15 17.98%
North Carolina State 32 82.02%
Southern Mississippi 11 0.00%
UAB 45 100.00%
Air Force 29 16.07%
Colorado State 53 83.93%
Colorado 17 7.52%
Utah 46 92.48%
Wyoming 18 8.94%
Utah State 50 91.06%
South Alabama 33 65.54%
Georgia State 24 34.46%
North Texas 22 55.31%
Tulsa 19 44.69%
Tulane 18 35.26%
Rice 26 64.74%
BYU 48 77.46%
Nevada 22 22.54%
Alabama 30 51.96%
Auburn 27 48.04%
Baylor 24 78.97%
TCU 21 21.03%
Penn State 14 3.14%
Wisconsin 46 96.86%
Georgia 31 43.53%
Georgia Tech 37 56.47%
Purdue 17 11.29%
Indiana 49 88.71%
Idaho 26 28.40%
New Mexico State 38 71.60%
Boston College 25 45.84%
Syracuse 28 54.16%
Virginia Tech 26 72.36%
Virginia 13 27.64%
Northwestern 31 55.51%
Illinois 28 44.49%
Louisiana Tech 15 15.50%
UTSA 35 84.50%
UTEP 17 0.05%
Middle Tennessee 49 99.95%
Iowa State 20 29.48%
West Virginia 31 70.52%
Arkansas State 26 36.05%
Western Kentucky 34 63.95%
Clemson 24 24.18%
South Carolina 33 75.82%
Notre Dame 13 0.00%
Stanford 42 100.00%
Tennessee 28 48.24%
Kentucky 29 51.76%
Louisiana-Monroe 18 13.79%
Louisiana-Lafayette 43 86.21%
Texas A&M 23 10.23%
Missouri 52 89.77%
UCLA 21 21.65%
USC 28 78.35%
Arizona 18 0.00%
Arizona State 41 100.00%
New Mexico 24 8.80%
Boise State 67 91.20%
San Diego State 25 35.36%
UNLV 39 64.64%
Army 23 31.10%
Hawai’i 34 68.90%
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