College Football Picks: Week 15

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Below are your week 15 picks based on the ratings.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 14 Results

  • Straight Up 72.88% Correct
  • Against the Spread- 44.07% Correct

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 88 76 53.66%
60%-69.9% 108 41 72.48%
70%-79.9% 106 31 77.37%
80%-89.9% 98 13 88.29%
90%-100% 116 9 92.80%
Total 516 170 75.22%

Against the Spread

341-339-6 (50.15%)

Week 15 Picks after the jump.

Week 15 Picks

Thursday Proj. Score Win Probability
Louisville 25 56.72%
Cincinnati 21 43.28%
Friday Proj. Score Win Probability
Bowling Green 31 42.01%
Northern Illinois 35 57.99%
Saturday Proj. Score Win Probability
Oklahoma 15 8.03%
Oklahoma State 38 91.97%
UCF 32 62.37%
SMU 25 37.63%
Marshall 29 51.42%
Rice 28 48.58%
Memphis 15.92 47.44%
Connecticut 16.16 52.56%
Texas 22 9.61%
Baylor 40 90.39%
Missouri 35 73.49%
Auburn 27 26.51%
South Florida 13 38.65%
Rutgers 20 61.35%
Stanford 20 43.53%
Arizona State 24 56.47%
Duke 15 0.00%
Florida State 40 100.00%
Louisiana-Lafayette 32 44.78%
South Alabama 35 55.22%
Ohio State 26 75.12%
Michigan State 24 24.88%
Utah State 30.63 49.44%
Fresno State 31.18 50.56%
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