2014 College Football Picks: Week 5

Sports

Below are the picks for week 5.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 4 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 34-12, 73.91%
  • Against the Spread- 24-20-2, 54.55%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 25 16 60.98%
60%-69.9% 26 10 72.22%
70%-79.9% 37 9 80.43%
80%-89.9% 32 5 86.49%
90%-100% 20 0 100.00%
Total 140 40 77.78%

Against the Spread

99-77-4 (56.25%)

Week 5 picks after the jump.

Week 5 Picks

Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Oklahoma State 49 84.4%
Texas Tech 21 15.6%
Georgia Southern 63 94.4%
Appalachian State 18 5.6%
Arizona State 32 65.2%
UCLA 28 34.8%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Old Dominion 32 44.8%
Middle Tennessee 36 55.2%
New Mexico 45 53.3%
Fresno State 43 46.7%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Georgia 48 99.5%
Tennessee 16 0.5%
Wisconsin 54 96.0%
South Florida 11 4.0%
Kentucky 35 82.9%
Vanderbilt 14 17.1%
Michigan State 46 90.1%
Wyoming 14 9.9%
Kansas State 55 90.5%
UTEP 19 9.5%
SMU 9 13.7%
TCU 33 86.3%
Rutgers 39 75.9%
Tulane 21 24.1%
Penn State 22 73.0%
Northwestern 11 27.0%
Purdue 18 37.8%
Iowa 25 62.2%
Boston College 32 61.1%
Colorado State 26 38.9%
Virginia Tech 37 76.9%
Western Michigan 20 23.1%
Indiana 27 54.9%
Maryland 26 45.1%
Pittsburgh 41 85.3%
Akron 15 14.7%
Massachusetts 36 61.8%
Bowling Green 31 38.2%
North Carolina State 26 42.5%
Florida State 28 57.5%
Texas A&M* 44 92.2%
Arkansas 19 7.8%
Michigan 24 60.5%
Minnesota 19 39.5%
Louisville 31 87.3%
Wake Forest 9 12.7%
Buffalo 32 50.5%
Miami (Ohio) 28 49.5%
Navy 47 78.2%
Western Kentucky 25 21.8%
UAB 33 76.8%
Florida International 15 23.2%
Virginia 32 87.6%
Kent State 10 12.4%
Auburn 49 89.8%
Louisiana Tech 19 10.2%
Connecticut 14 37.7%
Temple 22 62.3%
Kansas 14 31.1%
Texas 26 68.9%
California 46 82.6%
Colorado 21 17.4%
Washington 16 33.8%
Stanford 29 66.2%
Florida Atlantic 18 37.4%
UTSA 26 62.6%
Idaho 29 55.1%
South Alabama 22 44.9%
Ohio State 42 80.1%
Cincinnati 22 19.9%
South Carolina 36 60.9%
Missouri 33 39.1%
Clemson 47 81.2%
North Carolina 24 18.8%
Toledo 36 65.5%
Central Michigan 24 34.5%
Southern Mississippi 24 46.6%
Rice 30 53.4%
Air Force 24 39.0%
Boise State 32 61.0%
Louisiana-Monroe 32 94.4%
Troy 17 5.6%
Miami (Florida) 27 64.7%
Duke 22 35.3%
LSU 61 97.3%
New Mexico State 12 2.7%
Mississippi 39 92.5%
Memphis 10 7.5%
San Diego State 41 84.8%
UNLV 17 15.2%
Iowa State 23 28.6%
Baylor 37 71.4%
Syracuse* 15 32.1%
Notre Dame 24 67.9%
Tulsa 29 44.6%
Texas State 36 55.4%
Utah 43 82.1%
Washington State 20 17.9%
Nebraska 39 79.4%
Illinois 20 20.6%
USC 38 78.2%
Oregon State 20 21.8%
San Jose State 26 49.2%
Nevada 27 50.8%
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s