2014 College Football Picks: Week 6

Sports

Below are the picks for week 6.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 5 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 37-15, 71.15%
  • Against the Spread- 22-27-3, 44.90%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 31 19 62.00%
60%-69.9% 33 17 66.00%
70%-79.9% 42 12 77.78%
80%-89.9% 42 7 85.71%
90%-100% 29 0 100.00%
Total 177 55 76.29%

Against the Spread

121-104-7 (53.78%)

Week 6 picks after the jump.

Week 6 Picks

Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Houston 24 55.7%
UCF 21 44.3%
Florida International 21.2 58.2%
Florida Atlantic 20.6 41.8%
Oregon 55 92.2%
Arizona 20 7.8%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Syracuse 15 45.5%
Louisville 19 54.5%
Fresno State 31 47.3%
San Diego State 33 52.7%
BYU 34 88.2%
Utah State 9 11.8%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Mississippi State 24 29.1%
Texas A&M 26 70.9%
Maryland 34 74.8%
Ohio State 18 25.2%
Oklahoma State 41 77.5%
Iowa State 23 22.5%
Old Dominion 28 33.6%
Marshall 42 66.4%
Illinois 34 75.4%
Purdue 18 24.6%
East Carolina 57 99.7%
SMU 5 0.3%
Tennessee 27 63.0%
Florida 21 37.0%
Army 33 59.9%
Ball State 23 40.1%
Middle Tennessee 48 94.5%
Southern Mississippi 14 5.5%
North Carolina 34 65.0%
Virginia Tech 26 35.0%
Akron 36 96.3%
Eastern Michigan 11 3.7%
Indiana 33 65.8%
North Texas 23 34.2%
Miami (Ohio) 29.1 51.2%
Massachusetts 28.5 48.8%
Colorado State 51 92.1%
Tulsa 17 7.9%
Notre Dame 14.3 60.3%
Stanford 13.8 39.7%
UTSA 47 85.4%
New Mexico 21 14.6%
Air Force 27 49.5%
Navy 29 50.5%
Florida State 34 90.1%
Wake Forest 10 9.9%
Mississippi 19 72.8%
Alabama 11 27.2%
TCU 24 72.8%
Oklahoma 14 27.2%
Bowling Green 61 87.1%
Buffalo 36 12.9%
Central Michigan 24 63.7%
Ohio 17 36.3%
Texas 20 41.1%
Baylor 23 58.9%
Northwestern 19 45.6%
Wisconsin 20 54.4%
Clemson 48 74.2%
North Carolina State 30 25.8%
Georgia 53 98.0%
Vanderbilt 10 2.0%
West Virginia 41 90.9%
Kansas 10 9.1%
Colorado 29 43.8%
Oregon State 33 56.2%
Northern Illinois 42 91.7%
Kent State 11 8.3%
Appalachian State 28 63.8%
South Alabama 18 36.2%
Arkansas State 29 80.5%
Louisiana-Monroe 12 19.5%
Louisiana-Lafayette 43 82.6%
Georgia State 25 17.4%
Rice 30 59.1%
Hawai’i 21 40.9%
Western Kentucky 38 62.7%
UAB 29 37.3%
Louisiana Tech 58 83.3%
UTEP 30 16.7%
Rutgers 29 70.51%
Michigan 18 29.49%
Auburn 30 72.5%
LSU 22 27.5%
Kansas State 54 80.8%
Texas Tech 29 19.2%
Western Michigan 50 68.9%
Toledo 36 31.1%
Cincinnati 37 71.7%
Memphis 25 28.3%
Texas State 54 94.6%
Idaho 20 5.4%
Kentucky 30 61.3%
South Carolina 22 38.7%
USC 44 80.2%
Arizona State 21 19.8%
Georgia Tech 29 45.4%
Miami (Florida) 35 54.6%
Virginia 29 69.9%
Pittsburgh 17 30.1%
San Jose State 28 73.5%
UNLV 17 26.5%
Michigan State 38 64.38%
Nebraska 34 35.62%
New Mexico State 22 8.08%
Georgia Southern 66 91.92%
UCLA 31 75.5%
Utah 18 24.5%
Washington State 43 62.7%
California 33 37.3%
Nevada 26 69.89%
Boise State 15 30.11%
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