2014 College Football Picks: Week 7

Sports

Below are the picks for week 7.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the projected ratings for each team, click here.

Week 6 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 36-21, 63.16%
  • Against the Spread- 25-31-1, 44.64%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 38 24 61.29%
60%-69.9% 40 24 62.50%
70%-79.9% 49 17 74.24%
80%-89.9% 47 10 82.46%
90%-100% 39 1 97.50%
Total 213 76 73.70%

Against the Spread

146-135-8 (51.96%)

Week 7 picks after the jump.

Week 7 Picks

Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
UCF 27 68.6%
BYU 17 31.4%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Stanford 35 83.6%
Washington State 10 16.4%
New Mexico 30 51.1%
San Diego State 28 48.9%
UNLV 24 46.2%
Fresno State 30 53.8%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Syracuse 18 40.4%
Florida State 23 59.6%
Texas* 14 14.7%
Oklahoma 26 85.3%
Missouri 35 51.26%
Georgia 30 48.74%
Wisconsin 41 82.84%
Illinois 17 17.16%
Kentucky 33 86.97%
Louisiana-Monroe 10 13.03%
Marshall 45 83.26%
Middle Tennessee 21 16.74%
Miami (Florida) 41 72.93%
Cincinnati 25 27.07%
Temple 45 98.48%
Tulsa 10 1.52%
Texas Tech 32 48.93%
West Virginia 33 51.07%
Minnesota 19 63.84%
Northwestern 14 36.16%
Iowa 24 67.03%
Indiana 14 32.97%
Army 45 60.81%
Rice 38 39.19%
Georgia Tech 25 54.70%
Duke 24 45.30%
Eastern Michigan 27 32.82%
Buffalo 36 67.18%
Akron 32 81.35%
Miami (Ohio) 14 18.65%
Kent State 20 47.48%
Massachusetts 28 52.52%
Ohio 35 78.63%
Bowling Green 23 21.37%
Georgia State 28 40.50%
Arkansas State 32 59.50%
Ball State 22 44.26%
Western Michigan 28 55.74%
Troy 34 71.92%
New Mexico State 29 28.08%
UCLA 33 53.7%
Oregon 28 46.3%
Mississippi State 27 62.7%
Auburn 24 37.3%
Baylor 27 84.77%
TCU 18 15.23%
Purdue 27 34.16%
Michigan State 38 65.84%
North Carolina State 38 68.33%
Boston College 26 31.67%
Clemson 22 56.02%
Louisville 20 43.98%
Notre Dame 41 84.73%
North Carolina 15 15.27%
UAB 38 64.47%
North Texas 29 35.53%
Iowa State 43 72.58%
Toledo 27 27.42%
Kansas 16 34.85%
Oklahoma State 28 65.15%
Northern Illinois 29 67.81%
Central Michigan 19 32.19%
Arkansas 33 61.6%
Alabama 32 38.4%
California 49 79.68%
Washington 30 20.32%
Memphis 30 79.21%
Houston 13 20.79%
Georgia Southern 72 98.99%
Idaho 16 1.01%
Michigan 18 60.58%
Penn State 14 39.42%
South Florida 20 26.70%
East Carolina 38 73.30%
UTSA 21 63.91%
Florida International 14 36.09%
Florida 25 55.85%
LSU 21 44.15%
Connecticut 18 48.02%
Tulane 20 51.98%
UTEP 44 52.63%
Old Dominion 43 47.37%
Texas A&M 18 46.0%
Mississippi 23 54.0%
Utah State 27 66.43%
Air Force 19 33.57%
Arizona 31 60.12%
USC 26 39.88%
Nevada 29 53.00%
Colorado State 28 47.00%
Hawai’i 20 64.70%
Wyoming 16 35.30%
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