2014 College Football Picks: Week 8

Sports

Below are the picks for week 8.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 7 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 34-16, 68.00%
  • Against the Spread- 32-18, 64.00%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 47 31 60.26%
60%-69.9% 51 30 62.96%
70%-79.9% 53 20 72.60%
80%-89.9% 55 10 84.62%
90%-100% 41 1 97.62%
Total 247 92 72.86%

Against the Spread

178-153-8 (53.78%)

Week 8 picks after the jump.

Week 8 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Texas State 45 74.9%
Louisiana-Lafayette 27 25.1%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Pittsburgh 27 66.2%
Virginia Tech 19 33.8%
Oregon State 23 46.2%
Utah 27 53.8%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Boise State 36 72.0%
Fresno State 23 28.0%
Houston 20 57.3%
Temple 17 42.7%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Oklahoma 43 87.5%
Kansas State 22 12.5%
West Virginia 25 36.4%
Baylor 32 63.6%
Florida Atlantic 32.8 56.1%
Western Kentucky 32.7 43.9%
Maryland 27 75.5%
Iowa 15 24.5%
Minnesota 32 74.5%
Purdue 17 25.5%
Wake Forest 14 58.0%
Syracuse 12 42.0%
Tulsa 25.7 42.5%
South Florida 25.9 57.5%
UCF 35 85.3%
Tulane 12 14.7%
Louisiana Tech 35 79.4%
UTSA 16 20.6%
Duke 23 69.4%
Virginia 14 30.6%
Bowling Green 35 41.1%
Western Michigan 43 58.9%
Ohio 16 46.9%
Akron 19 53.1%
Troy 36 63.5%
Appalachian State 34 36.5%
Massachusetts 42 87.7%
Eastern Michigan 18 12.3%
Alabama 32 66.3%
Texas A&M 20 33.7%
Indiana 36 47.7%
Michigan State 38 52.3%
Ohio State 43 80.1%
Rutgers 23 19.9%
California 36.9 41.8%
UCLA 37.1 58.2%
Louisville 35 83.4%
North Carolina State 11 16.6%
Boston College 26.2 52.4%
Clemson 26.0 47.6%
Texas Tech 35 76.61%
Kansas 16 23.39%
SMU 16 19.0%
Cincinnati 43 81.0%
Kent State 24 35.6%
Army 32 64.4%
Middle Tennessee 38 61.3%
UAB 31 38.7%
Air Force 38 74.5%
New Mexico 24 25.5%
Central Michigan 33 78.5%
Ball State 16 21.5%
Arkansas 41 67.5%
Georgia 38 32.5%
TCU 38 84.5%
Oklahoma State 19 15.5%
Wyoming 25 62.9%
San Jose State 19 37.1%
Northern Illinois 32 70.9%
Miami (Ohio) 21 29.1%
Idaho 38 71.1%
New Mexico State 32 28.9%
USC 48 86.8%
Colorado 18 13.2%
Florida International 18 35.9%
Marshall 26 64.1%
Mississippi 27 93.4%
Tennessee 9 6.6%
Florida 28 63.7%
Missouri 21 36.3%
North Carolina 45 63.1%
Georgia Tech 36 36.9%
North Texas 44 87.1%
Southern Mississippi 19 12.9%
Colorado State 30 72.0%
Utah State 19 28.0%
Northwestern 19.2 47.2%
Nebraska 19.4 52.8%
LSU 35 84.1%
Kentucky 17 15.9%
South Alabama 34 81.6%
Georgia State 23 18.4%
Florida State 28 64.2%
Notre Dame 23 35.8%
Oregon 43 96.3%
Washington 20 3.7%
Texas 24 66.8%
Iowa State 15 33.2%
BYU 32 74.4%
Nevada 17 25.6%
Arizona State 19 42.4%
Stanford 28 57.6%
San Diego State 26 73.0%
Hawai’i 14 27.0%
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