2014 College Football Picks: Week 9

Sports

Below are the picks for week 9.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 8 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 37-15, 71.15%
  • Against the Spread- 29-23, 55.77%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 55 35 61.11%
60%-69.9% 59 36 62.11%
70%-79.9% 63 23 73.26%
80%-89.9% 64 12 84.21%
90%-100% 43 1 97.73%
Total 284 107 72.63%

Against the Spread

207-176-8 (54.05%)

Week 9 picks after the jump.

Week 9 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Louisiana-Lafayette 20 42.6%
Arkansas State 26 57.4%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
East Carolina 35 91.7%
Connecticut 5 8.3%
Virginia Tech 17 39.9%
Miami (Florida) 24 60.1%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Cincinnati 36 75.7%
South Florida 18 24.3%
South Alabama 29 94.4%
Troy 14 5.6%
Boise State 23 52.8%
BYU 22 47.2%
California 31 31.0%
Oregon 48 69.0%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Nebraska 41 85.4%
Rutgers 16 14.6%
Kansas State 29 81.8%
Texas 15 18.2%
Virginia 31 67.21%
North Carolina 19 32.79%
Rice 39 67.3%
North Texas 27 32.7%
Arkansas 61 93.7%
UAB 21 6.3%
SMU 6 11.9%
Memphis 33 88.1%
Wisconsin 25 61.0%
Maryland 21 39.0%
Illinois 27 54.5%
Minnesota 24 45.5%
Navy 31 79.2%
San Jose State 12 20.8%
Eastern Michigan 19 36.9%
Northern Illinois 29 63.1%
Colorado 24 30.6%
UCLA 41 69.4%
Ball State 15 44.7%
Akron 19 55.3%
Toledo 41 73.0%
Massachusetts 26 27.0%
Georgia State 25 26.6%
Georgia Southern 46 73.4%
Western Michigan 32 81.4%
Ohio 11 18.6%
Miami (Ohio) 32 79.8%
Kent State 13 20.2%
Stanford 27 86.5%
Oregon State 5 13.5%
Oklahoma State 21 48.3%
West Virginia 22 51.7%
Michigan State 31 82.6%
Michigan 17 17.4%
TCU 47 91.5%
Texas Tech 15 8.5%
Kentucky 15 25.1%
Mississippi State 28 74.9%
Pittsburgh 34 68.5%
Georgia Tech 22 31.5%
Wake Forest 9 45.7%
Boston College 14 54.3%
Buffalo 25 22.1%
Central Michigan 40 77.9%
Southern Mississippi 16 27.9%
Louisiana Tech 36 72.1%
Utah State 29 88.4%
UNLV 7 11.6%
Missouri 33 90.6%
Vanderbilt 7 9.4%
Western Kentucky 46 67.4%
Old Dominion 37 32.6%
Washington State 35 65.8%
Arizona 24 34.2%
UCF 19 70.1%
Temple 9 29.9%
Clemson 23 78.4%
Syracuse 9 21.6%
Colorado State 36 86.0%
Wyoming 11 14.0%
Louisiana-Monroe 18 43.9%
Texas State 25 56.1%
UTSA 33 88.8%
UTEP 18 11.2%
Marshall 54 94.7%
Florida Atlantic 12 5.3%
LSU 11 43.9%
Mississippi 17 56.1%
Tennessee 11 28.8%
Alabama 21 71.2%
Auburn 43 91.0%
South Carolina 17 9.0%
Penn State 14 38.70%
Ohio State 19 61.30%
Utah 22 57.8%
USC 20 42.2%
Washington 25.1 52.6%
Arizona State 25.0 47.4%
Hawai’i 15 45.4%
Nevada 21 54.6%
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