2014 College Football Picks: Week 10

Sports

Below are the picks for week 10.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 9 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 41-8, 83.67%
  • Against the Spread- 26-22-1, 54.17%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 62 39 61.39%
60%-69.9% 67 39 63.21%
70%-79.9% 74 23 76.29%
80%-89.9% 72 13 84.71%
90%-100% 50 1 98.04%
Total 325 115 73.86%

Against the Spread

233-198-9 (54.06%)

Week 10 picks after the jump.

Week 10 Picks

Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Louisville 20 63.8%
Florida State 9 36.2%
Georgia Southern 63 97.6%
Troy 13 2.4%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Tulane 22 48.7%
Cincinnati 24 51.3%
Memphis 53 98.7%
Tulsa 11 1.3%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Army 29 41.9%
Air Force 32 58.1%
Iowa 18 68.8%
Northwestern 10 31.2%
Rutgers 22 34.4%
Wisconsin 37 65.6%
Iowa State 20 31.6%
Oklahoma 32 68.4%
Penn State 14.54 50.7%
Maryland 14.50 49.3%
Pittsburgh 16 49.0%
Duke 21 51.0%
Texas A&M 51 96.5%
Louisiana-Monroe 8 3.5%
Temple 21 56.9%
East Carolina 19 43.1%
Connecticut 7 34.5%
UCF 17 65.5%
Florida International 23 72.0%
Rice 18 28.0%
Virginia Tech 18 57.3%
Boston College 17 42.7%
Miami (Florida) 47 84.78%
North Carolina 20 15.22%
Colorado 24 44.3%
Washington 28 55.7%
Eastern Michigan 14 29.1%
Central Michigan 27 70.9%
Miami (Ohio) 24 41.9%
Western Michigan 33 58.1%
Syracuse 16.6 53.7%
North Carolina State 16.3 46.3%
Louisiana Tech 47 78.2%
Western Kentucky 25 21.8%
Florida* 19 17.3%
Georgia 29 82.7%
Michigan 24 62.1%
Indiana 18 37.9%
West Virginia 20 43.5%
TCU 22 56.5%
Nebraska 40 84.2%
Purdue 17 15.8%
Georgia Tech 29 69.9%
Virginia 20 30.1%
Middle Tennessee 30 61.7%
BYU 25 38.3%
Appalachian State 47 78.4%
Georgia State 30 21.6%
Missouri 26 74.2%
Kentucky 14 25.8%
Baylor 38 93.1%
Kansas 8 6.9%
South Florida 16 38.6%
Houston 17 61.4%
Washington State 25 44.5%
USC 31 55.5%
Louisiana-Lafayette 31 70.0%
South Alabama 16 30.0%
Idaho 20 23.4%
Arkansas State 38 76.6%
UNLV 25 57.7%
New Mexico 24 42.3%
Mississippi 23 68.9%
Auburn 9 31.1%
Florida Atlantic 26.9 51.8%
UAB 26.5 48.2%
San Jose State 17 35.8%
Colorado State 29 64.2%
Vanderbilt 26 64.3%
Old Dominion 25 35.7%
Mississippi State 43 85.6%
Arkansas 22 14.4%
Oregon 21 73.7%
Stanford 18 26.3%
South Carolina 27 62.1%
Tennessee 23 37.9%
Texas Tech 22.0 54.0%
Texas 21.6 46.0%
Kansas State 34 84.3%
Oklahoma State 14 15.7%
Navy 22 46.2%
Notre Dame 26 53.8%
Ohio State 44 85.8%
Illinois 19 14.2%
UTEP 39 73.3%
Southern Mississippi 19 26.7%
New Mexico State 22 33.4%
Texas State 35 66.6%
UCLA 34 69.8%
Arizona 21 30.2%
Oregon State 27 45.9%
California 33 54.1%
Nevada 23 66.1%
San Diego State 14 33.9%
Fresno State 36 77.8%
Wyoming 17 22.2%
Arizona State 25 69.4%
Utah 16 30.6%
Hawai’i 12 47.1%
Utah State 16 52.9%
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