2014 College Football Picks: Week 11

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Below are the picks for week 11.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 10 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 40-14, 74.07%
  • Against the Spread- 30-24, 55.56%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 73 45 61.86%
60%-69.9% 79 44 64.23%
70%-79.9% 82 25 76.64%
80%-89.9% 77 14 84.62%
90%-100% 54 1 98.18%
Total 365 129 73.89%

Against the Spread

263-222-9 (54.23%)

Week 11 picks after the jump.

Week 11 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Akron 28 75.5%
Bowling Green 15 24.5%
Kent State 16 36.4%
Toledo 32 63.6%
Wednesday Projected Score Win Probability
Ohio 30 89.1%
Buffalo 20 10.9%
Ball State 22 48.2%
Northern Illinois 24 51.8%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Wake Forest 9 42.4%
Clemson 13 57.6%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Temple 19 61.2%
Memphis 14 38.8%
Wyoming 17 42.3%
Utah State 23 57.7%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Minnesota 18.2 57.1%
Iowa 17.6 42.9%
Oklahoma 35 86.57%
Baylor 20 13.43%
Kentucky 23 36.3%
Georgia 27 63.7%
Purdue 19 34.91%
Wisconsin 32 65.09%
Indiana 20 64.09%
Penn State 12 35.91%
Tulsa 25 71.3%
SMU 6 28.7%
Rice 23 55.9%
UTSA 16 44.1%
UAB 23 36.4%
Louisiana Tech 36 63.6%
Syracuse 11 42.6%
Duke 15 57.4%
North Carolina State 33 55.3%
Georgia Tech 31 44.7%
Arkansas State 27 72.1%
South Alabama 13 27.9%
Troy 27 38.7%
Georgia State 30 61.3%
Arizona State 26 62.6%
Notre Dame 19 37.4%
Auburn 41 95.2%
Texas A&M 23 4.8%
Texas 17 58.28%
West Virginia 13 41.72%
Northwestern 14 54.98%
Michigan 13 45.02%
Kansas 17 45.52%
Iowa State 23 54.48%
Old Dominion 33 65.3%
Florida International 18 34.7%
Houston 23 79.8%
Tulane 9 20.2%
Army 21 52.2%
Connecticut 18 47.8%
Appalachian State 30 71.5%
Louisiana-Monroe 12 28.5%
San Diego State 34 91.8%
Idaho 13 8.2%
Oregon State 27.0 57.0%
Washington State 26.9 43.0%
Texas State 31 47.51%
Georgia Southern 34 52.49%
UNLV 19 46.6%
Air Force 22 53.4%
Western Kentucky 46 67.6%
UTEP 34 32.4%
Florida State 31 85.3%
Virginia 12 14.7%
Washington 20 54.4%
UCLA 19 45.6%
Colorado State 35 85.5%
Hawai’i 10 14.5%
Southern Mississippi 11 15.3%
Marshall 42 84.7%
North Texas 32 70.8%
Florida Atlantic 22 29.2%
New Mexico 27 43.1%
Boise State 33 56.9%
Boston College 16 48.4%
Louisville 19 51.6%
TCU 31 82.33%
Kansas State 19 17.67%
Vanderbilt 14 32.4%
Florida 26 67.6%
LSU 16 47.91%
Alabama 17 52.09%
Michigan State 35 63.41%
Ohio State 31 36.59%
Arizona 42 83.8%
Colorado 18 16.2%
New Mexico State 24 38.8%
Louisiana-Lafayette 31 61.2%
Utah 20 28.6%
Oregon 25 71.4%
Fresno State 30 65.7%
San Jose State 20 34.3%
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3 thoughts on “2014 College Football Picks: Week 11

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