2014 College Football Picks: Week 12

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Below are the picks for week 12.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 11 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 35-13, 72.92%
  • Against the Spread- 27-20-1, 57.45%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 86 50 63.24%
60%-69.9% 89 48 64.96%
70%-79.9% 87 27 76.32%
80%-89.9% 83 15 84.69%
90%-100% 55 2 96.49%
Total 400 142 73.80%

Against the Spread

290-242-10 (54.51%)

Week 12 picks after the jump.

Week 12 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Buffalo 19 32.7%
Akron 24 67.3%
Northern Illinois 33 62.2%
Toledo 27 37.8%
Wednesday Projected Score Win Probability
Massachusetts 33 68.9%
Ball State 19 31.1%
Bowling Green 28 77.8%
Kent State 11 22.2%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Cincinnati 28 58.1%
East Carolina 26 41.9%
UTSA 22 87.4%
Southern Mississippi 9 12.6%
USC 43 78.0%
California 22 22.0%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
UCF 42 95.5%
Tulsa 9 4.5%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Minnesota 26 43.5%
Ohio State 30 56.5%
Illinois 26 56.9%
Iowa 23 43.1%
Florida 36 73.15%
South Carolina 19 26.85%
Duke 26 80.32%
Virginia Tech 10 19.68%
Georgia Tech 29 70.5%
Clemson 21 29.5%
Western Kentucky 47 76.7%
Army 29 23.3%
Penn State 10 56.77%
Temple 8 43.23%
North Carolina 41 65.2%
Pittsburgh 31 34.8%
Central Michigan 31 78.40%
Miami (Ohio) 15 21.60%
Western Michigan 49 96.1%
Eastern Michigan 10 3.9%
Air Force 22 55.8%
Nevada 21 44.2%
Marshall 57 95.2%
Rice 13 4.8%
Kansas 12 16.4%
TCU 33 83.6%
North Carolina State 22 73.3%
Wake Forest 9 26.7%
Arkansas State 38 75.7%
Appalachian State 23 24.3%
Arizona 25 67.5%
Washington 17 32.5%
Alabama 25 75.5%
Mississippi State 10 24.5%
Wisconsin 29 74.4%
Nebraska 17 25.6%
Notre Dame 27 82.23%
Northwestern 11 17.77%
Texas Tech 22 23.6%
Oklahoma 44 76.4%
Rutgers 29 59.81%
Indiana 25 40.19%
Tulane 16 44.8%
Memphis 20 55.2%
Navy 36 52.5%
Georgia Southern 35 47.5%
Florida International 18 46.7%
Middle Tennessee 24 53.3%
Tennessee 26 69.7%
Kentucky 17 30.3%
Utah State 34 82.1%
New Mexico 14 17.9%
San Jose State 23 67.42%
Hawai’i 13 32.58%
Idaho 32 73.7%
Troy 24 26.3%
Stanford 19 68.5%
Utah 10 31.5%
BYU 37 87.74%
UNLV 12 12.26%
Louisiana-Monroe 16 47.8%
Louisiana-Lafayette 23 52.2%
Georgia 39 81.7%
Auburn 33 18.3%
Texas A&M 29 78.59%
Missouri 19 21.41%
Oklahoma State 14 47.80%
Texas 18 52.20%
South Alabama 20 51.7%
Texas State 19 48.3%
Arkansas 24 45.5%
LSU 26 54.5%
Maryland 24 54.20%
Michigan State 22 45.80%
Miami (Florida) 33 79.2%
Florida State 19 20.8%
SMU 12 31.34%
South Florida 21 68.66%
UTEP 32 54.5%
North Texas 29 45.5%
Boise State 29 67.7%
San Diego State 19 32.3%
Oregon State 18 36.0%
Arizona State 30 64.0%
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