2014 College Football Picks: Week 13

Sports

Below are the picks for week 13.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 12 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 35-14, 71.43%
  • Against the Spread- 19-29-2, 39.58%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 96 54 64.00%
60%-69.9% 97 51 65.54%
70%-79.9% 96 32 75.00%
80%-89.9% 88 17 83.81%
90%-100% 58 2 96.67%
Total 435 156 73.60%

Against the Spread

309-271-12 (53.28%)

Week 13 picks after the jump.

Week 13 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Ohio 19 49.1%
Northern Illinois 20 50.9%
Akron 23 62.6%
Massachusetts 20 37.4%
Wednesday Projected Score Win Probability
Toledo 38 71.6%
Bowling Green 23 28.4%
Buffalo 29 59.0%
Kent State 18 41.0%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
West Virginia 22 47.21%
Kansas State 23 52.79%
Duke 36 76.6%
North Carolina 17 23.4%
Texas State 29 60.1%
Arkansas State 24 39.9%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Rice 39 73.2%
UTEP 26 26.8%
San Diego State 25 63.8%
Air Force 19 36.2%
Utah State 26 83.0%
San Jose State 9 17.0%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Michigan State 47 82.24%
Rutgers 24 17.76%
Nebraska 33 71.8%
Minnesota 22 28.2%
Ohio State 48 90.3%
Indiana 17 9.7%
Oklahoma 40 93.6%
Kansas 10 6.4%
South Carolina 37 83.8%
South Alabama 13 16.2%
UCF 35 97.5%
SMU 4 2.5%
Illinois 17 60.4%
Penn State 12 39.6%
Purdue 22 64.4%
Northwestern 15 35.6%
Wake Forest 10 46.3%
Virginia Tech 14 53.7%
Arizona State 36 76.0%
Washington State 20 24.0%
Central Michigan 25.8 52.2%
Western Michigan 25.7 47.8%
UAB 18 22.0%
Marshall 44 78.0%
Old Dominion 29 35.8%
Louisiana Tech 43 64.2%
Colorado State 53 86.0%
New Mexico 21 14.0%
Ball State 27 92.9%
Eastern Michigan 12 7.1%
Western Kentucky 27 62.8%
UTSA 14 37.2%
Houston 33 91.7%
Tulsa 10 8.3%
Florida State 35 80.5%
Boston College 17 19.5%
Arkansas 16 45.1%
Mississippi 25 54.9%
Iowa 17 34.2%
Wisconsin 26 65.8%
Michigan 17 56.2%
Maryland 14 43.8%
Notre Dame 21 61.5%
Louisville 20 38.5%
Utah 24 69.8%
Arizona 15 30.2%
Iowa State 34 65.0%
Texas Tech 26 35.0%
Pittsburgh 22 69.1%
Syracuse 12 30.9%
Clemson 42 95.3%
Georgia State 11 4.7%
East Carolina 30 76.5%
Tulane 14 23.5%
North Texas 26 64.7%
Florida International 18 35.3%
California 25 60.9%
Stanford 23 39.1%
Memphis 29 84.3%
South Florida 9 15.7%
Oregon 67 99.8%
Colorado 15 0.2%
Louisiana-Lafayette 37 70.8%
Appalachian State 26 29.2%
Virginia 16 35.3%
Miami (Florida) 25 64.7%
Middle Tennessee 38 79.9%
Florida Atlantic 18 20.1%
Mississippi State 40 94.5%
Vanderbilt 8 5.5%
Baylor 39 90.7%
Oklahoma State 13 9.3%
Tennessee 21 61.7%
Missouri 17 38.3%
UCLA 25 58.9%
USC 21 41.1%
Connecticut 19 45.5%
Cincinnati 26 54.5%
New Mexico State 23 53.6%
Louisiana-Monroe 16 46.4%
Wyoming 23 45.3%
Boise State 30 54.7%
Washington 25 69.0%
Oregon State 15 31.0%
Nevada 34 74.5%
Fresno State 20 25.5%
Hawai’i 21 77.3%
UNLV 12 22.7%
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