2014 College Football Picks: Week 14

Sports

Below are the picks for week 14.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 13 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 36-17, 67.92%
  • Against the Spread- 22-29-2, 43.14%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 101 59 63.13%
60%-69.9% 106 59 64.24%
70%-79.9% 103 36 74.10%
80%-89.9% 94 17 84.68%
90%-100% 67 2 97.10%
Total 471 173 73.14%

Against the Spread

331-300-14 (52.46%)

Week 14 picks after the jump.

Week 14 Picks

Tuesday Projected Score Win Probability
Miami (Ohio) 23 60.5%
Ohio 16 39.5%
Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
Texas 17.7 43.0%
TCU 17.9 57.0%
Texas A&M 24 69.6%
LSU 23 30.4%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Iowa 26 52.3%
Nebraska 24 47.7%
Tulsa 18 24.4%
East Carolina 39 75.6%
South Alabama 18 41.2%
Navy 28 58.8%
Virginia Tech 16 59.5%
Virginia 13 40.5%
South Florida 14 41.30%
UCF 20 58.70%
Kent State 14.4 53.1%
Akron 14.2 46.9%
SMU 9 23.4%
Houston 23 76.6%
Bowling Green 27 65.7%
Ball State 19 34.3%
Massachussets 43 80.3%
Buffalo 26 19.7%
Western Michigan 37 76.5%
Northern Illinois 19 23.5%
Eastern Michigan 19 26.0%
Toledo 37 74.0%
Marshall 57 90.7%
Western Kentucky 18 9.3%
Missouri 23 52.2%
Arkansas 22 47.8%
UCLA 20 67.1%
Stanford 16 32.9%
Air Force 25 44.0%
Colorado State 31 56.0%
Arizona 24 58.1%
Arizona State 21 41.9%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Mississippi 21 76.8%
Mississippi State 10 23.2%
Florida State 22 62.4%
Florida 20 37.6%
Alabama 33 77.4%
Auburn 12 22.6%
Oregon State 19 16.1%
Oregon 42 83.9%
Penn State 15 40.4%
Michigan State 17 59.6%
Kansas State 36 91.0%
Kansas 10 9.0%
USC 32 68.8%
Notre Dame 22 31.2%
Georgia 50 87.3%
Georgia Tech 24 12.7%
Baylor* 49 80.92%
Texas Tech 23 19.08%
Ohio State 29 85.54%
Michigan 14 14.46%
Colorado 19 38.8%
Utah 27 61.2%
Iowa State 20 47.83%
West Virginia 23 52.17%
Clemson 24 60.3%
South Carolina 17 39.7%
Duke 21 83.6%
Wake Forest 5 16.4%
Louisville 28 76.5%
Kentucky 13 23.5%
Vanderbilt 15 36.8%
Tennessee 24 63.2%
Appalachian State 48 90.7%
Idaho 18 9.3%
Arkansas State 40 87.9%
New Mexico State 17 12.1%
Washington State 26 54.5%
Washington 24 45.5%
California 35 64.1%
BYU 29 35.9%
Boise State 23 58.4%
Utah State 22 41.6%
UTSA 16.3 61.7%
North Texas 16.0 38.3%
UNLV 20 40.3%
Nevada 28 59.7%
Temple 23 65.1%
Cincinnati 15 34.9%
Memphis 28 85.5%
Connecticut 8 14.5%
Boston College 20 74.5%
Syracuse 9 25.5%
Miami (Florida) 41 83.9%
Pittsburgh 17 16.1%
North Carolina 39 63.1%
North Carolina State 32 36.9%
Maryland 33 77.6%
Rutgers 16 22.4%
Wisconsin 35 85.4%
Minnesota 16 14.6%
Northwestern 22 64.5%
Illinois 17 35.5%
Indiana 29 61.6%
Purdue 23 38.4%
Florida Atlantic 33 48.4%
Old Dominion 38 51.6%
Louisiana Tech 37 76.4%
Rice 19 23.6%
Georgia State 24 29.9%
Texas State 37 70.1%
New Mexico 38 68.8%
Wyoming 24 31.2%
San Diego State 26 78.0%
San Jose State 12 22.0%
Southern Mississippi 18 42.8%
UAB 26 57.2%
Georgia Southern 44 87.3%
Louisiana-Monroe 12 12.7%
UTEP 31 47.9%
Middle Tennessee 34 52.1%
Fresno State 28 67.1%
Hawai’i 16 32.9%
Troy 22 38.4%
Louisiana-Lafayette 31 61.6%
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