2014 College Football Picks: Week 15

Sports

Below are the picks for week 15.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 14 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 43-18, 70.49%
  • Against the Spread- 26-33-2, 44.07%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 114 63 64.41%
60%-69.9% 116 67 63.39%
70%-79.9% 113 38 74.83%
80%-89.9% 102 20 83.61%
90%-100% 69 3 95.83%
Total 514 191 72.91%

Against the Spread

357-333-16 (51.74%)

Week 15 picks after the jump.

Week 15 Picks

Thursday Projected Score Win Probability
East Carolina 21 61.3%
UCF 17 38.7%
Friday Projected Score Win Probability
Northern Illinois* 31 65.7%
Bowling Green 19 34.3%
Oregon* 36 88.4%
Arizona 20 11.6%
Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
TCU 44 93.97%
Iowa State 12 6.03%
Baylor 31 63.80%
Kansas State 27 36.20%
Oklahoma 41 92.22%
Oklahoma State 13 7.78%
Cincinnati 26 67.6%
Houston 17 32.4%
Connecticut 21 92.3%
SMU 7 7.7%
Tulane 11 47.1%
Temple 13 52.9%
Marshall 37 72.8%
Louisana Tech 25 27.2%
Alabama* 26 93.5%
Missouri 11 6.5%
Florida State* 29 54.0%
Georgia Tech 25 46.0%
Wisconsin* 33 55.7%
Ohio State 27 44.3%
Boise State 39 68.7%
Fresno State 24 31.3%
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