2014 College Football Picks: Week 16

Sports

Below are the picks for week 16.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 15 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 10-4, 71.43%
  • Against the Spread- 6-7-1, 46.15%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 117 64 64.64%
60%-69.9% 120 68 63.83%
70%-79.9% 114 38 75.00%
80%-89.9% 103 20 83.74%
90%-100% 71 5 93.42%
Total 525 195 72.92%

Against the Spread

363-340-17 (51.64%)

Week 16 picks after the jump.

Week 16 Picks

Saturday Projected Score Win Probability
Navy 57 84.70%
Army 25 15.30%

Short week this week 🙂

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