2014 College Football Picks: Bowl Games

Sports

Below are the picks for the bowl games.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 16 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

  • Straight Up- 1-0, 100%
  • Against the Spread- 0-1, 0%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 117 64 64.64%
60%-69.9% 120 68 63.83%
70%-79.9% 114 38 75.00%
80%-89.9% 104 20 83.87%
90%-100% 71 5 93.42%
Total 526 195 72.95%

Against the Spread

363-341-17 (51.56%)

Bowl Game picks after the jump.

Bowl Game Picks

December 20 Projected Score Win Probability
Nevada 28 58%
Louisiana-Lafayette 24 42%
Utah State 31 73%
UTEP 17 27%
Utah 21 46%
Colorado State 23 54%
Western Michigan 27 56%
Air Force 23 44%
South Alabama 19.20 54%
Bowling Green 19.19 46%
December 22 Projected Score Win Probability
BYU 20.1 52%
Memphis 19.5 48%
December 23 Projected Score Win Probability
Marshall 34 72%
Northern Illinois 20 28%
Navy 29 61%
San Diego State 21 39%
December 24 Projected Score Win Probability
Central Michigan 32 51%
Western Kentucky 31 49%
Fresno State 30 54%
Rice 28 46%
December 26 Projected Score Win Probability
Illinois 22 36%
Louisiana Tech 32 64%
Rutgers 32 46%
North Carolina 36 54%
North Carolina State 20 55%
UCF 18 45%
December 27 Projected Score Win Probability
Cincinnati 18 51%
Virginia Tech 17 49%
Arizona State 21 56%
Duke 19 44%
Miami (Florida) 30 59%
South Carolina 24 41%
Boston College 13 57%
Penn State 11 43%
Nebraska 24 45%
USC 28 55%
December 29 Projected Score Win Probability
Texas A&M 27 73%
West Virginia 18 27%
Oklahoma 21 69%
Clemson 16 31%
Arkansas 22 79%
Texas 14 21%
December 30 Projected Score Win Probability
Notre Dame 16 33%
LSU 28 67%
Georgia 26 79%
Louisville 21 21%
Maryland 13 39%
Stanford 20 61%
December 31 Projected Score Win Probability
Mississippi 20 58%
TCU 13 42%
Boise State 24 45%
Arizona 28 55%
Mississippi State 32 70%
Georgia Tech 19 30%
January 1 Projected Score Win Probability
Auburn 32 67%
Wisconsin 27 33%
Michigan State 31 49%
Baylor 32 51%
Missouri 21 53%
Minnesota 19 47%
Oregon 33 84%
Florida State 22 16%
Alabama 33 91%
Ohio State 17 9%
January 2 Projected Score Win Probability
Houston 20 41%
Pittsburgh 26 59%
Iowa 17 41%
Tennessee 21 59%
Kansas State 25 61%
UCLA 22 39%
Washington 21 56%
Oklahoma State 18 44%
January 3 Projected Score Win Probability
East Carolina 15 29%
Florida 27 71%
January 4 Projected Score Win Probability
Toledo 32 50.3%
Arkansas State 31 49.7%
January 12 ***Projected National Championship*** Projected Score Win Probability
Alabama 28 79.1%
Oregon 18 20.9%
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s