2015 College Football Picks: Week 6

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Below you will find the college football picks for week 6.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

Additionally, since we are still early in the season and not many games have actually been played, remember some of these are still influenced by preseason projections. The projections will fade out once each team has played 5 games.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 5 Results

  • Straight Up: 43-15 (74.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 30-28 (51.7%)
  • Over/Under: 25-32-1 (43.9%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 41 23 64.1%
60%-69.9% 39 13 75.0%
70%-79.9% 39 14 73.6%
80%-89.9% 40 6 87.0%
90%-100% 36 1 97.3%
Total 195 57 77.4%

Against the Spread

122-120-10 (50.4%)

Over/Under

129-121-2 (51.6%)

Week 6 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

October 8 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Houston 74 81% 56
SMU 19% 32
USC 104 92% 35
Washington 8% 23
October 9 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Marshall 155 49% 31
Southern Mississippi 51% 32
Virginia Tech 132 39% 29
North Carolina State 61% 37
October 10 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Boston College 70 83% 26
Wake Forest 17% 8
Clemson 165 58% 35
Georgia Tech 42% 30
Alabama 91 84% 39
Arkansas 16% 19
Mississippi State 31 92% 48
Troy 8% 14
Missouri 115 30% 16
Florida 70% 23
Mississippi 0 98% 79
New Mexico State 2% 19
South Carolina 84 25% 22
LSU 75% 40
Tennessee 149 40% 30
Georgia 60% 35
Arizona 119 68% 47
Oregon State 32% 32
Arizona State 120 66% 32
Colorado 34% 22
Utah 128 69% 40
California 31% 27
Oregon 149 58% 43
Washington State 42% 36
Kansas 18 8% 24
Baylor 92% 70
Kansas State 152 61% 37
TCU 39% 29
Texas 84 21% 24
Oklahoma 79% 46
Texas Tech 115 74% 47
Iowa State 26% 32
West Virginia 149 61% 29
Oklahoma State 39% 23
BYU 159 52% 32
East Carolina 48% 30
Temple 70 82% 35
Tulane 18% 16
Tulsa 137 61% 40
Louisiana-Monroe 39% 32
UCF 124 40% 18
Connecticut 60% 21
Air Force 30 97% 62
Wyoming 3% 21
Florida State 91 80% 37
Miami (Florida) 20% 17
Pittsburgh 107 72% 38
Virginia 28% 23
South Florida 153 49% 25
Syracuse 51% 26
Nebraska 155 47% 21
Wisconsin 53% 24
Purdue 137 59% 22
Minnesota 41% 16
Western Kentucky 121 72% 38
Middle Tennessee 28% 26
Bowling Green 90 76% 47
Massachusetts 24% 26
Western Michigan 147 54% 31
Central Michigan 46% 27
Northern Illinois 98 73% 32
Ball State 27% 19
Georgia State 93 29% 25
Appalachian State 71% 38
Louisiana-Lafayette 136 64% 50
Texas State 36% 44
Florida International 52 93% 41
UTEP 7% 17
Ohio State 64 84% 40
Maryland 16% 16
Penn State 104 71% 33
Indiana 29% 21
Iowa 103 78% 28
Illinois 22% 14
Army 122 38% 19
Duke 62% 28
Ohio 48 88% 41
Miami (Ohio) 12% 15
Florida Atlantic 109 75% 38
Rice 25% 30
Toledo 56 85% 31
Kent State 15% 10
Eastern Michigan 107 30% 30
Akron 70% 38
Notre Dame 161 61% 37
Navy 39% 33
Michigan 116 74% 13
Northwestern 26% 8
Colorado State 102 29% 18
Boise State 71% 31
Nevada 136 61% 34
New Mexico 39% 29
UTSA 97 32% 22
Louisiana Tech 68% 36
Rutgers 108 34% 27
Michigan State 66% 39
UNLV 109 71% 41
San Jose State 29% 27
Fresno State 126 41% 23
Utah State 59% 26
Hawai’i 121 64% 25
San Diego State 36% 18
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