2015 College Football Picks: Week 7

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Below you will find the college football picks for week 7.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 6 Results

  • Straight Up: 41-14 (74.6%)
  • Against the Spread: 25-28-2 (47.2%)
  • Over/Under: 32-23 (58.2%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 46 27 63.0%
60%-69.9% 50 18 73.5%
70%-79.9% 52 17 75.4%
80%-89.9% 47 7 87.0%
90%-100% 41 2 95.3%
Total 236 71 76.9%

Against the Spread

147-148-12 (49.8%)

Over/Under

161-144-2 (52.8%)

Week 7 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

October 13 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
South Alabama 102 31% 27
Arkansas State 69% 41
October 15 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Kentucky 147 59% 29
Auburn 41% 24
North Texas 0 2% 16
Western Kentucky 98% 77
Stanford 153 60% 31
UCLA 40% 25
October 16 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
BYU 114 68% 38
Cincinnati 32% 26
Tulane 107 35% 32
Houston 65% 45
Utah State 104 30% 16
Boise State 70% 27
Fresno State 103 32% 26
UNLV 68% 37
October 17 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Ohio 65 81% 42
Western Michigan 19% 20
Ball State 106 71% 38
Georgia State 29% 25
Toledo 16 94% 48
Eastern Michigan 6% 12
Wyoming 81 20% 24
Nevada 80% 39
San Jose State 125 63% 34
San Diego State 37% 24
Central Michigan 135 60% 28
Buffalo 40% 21
Middle Tennessee 132 62% 31
Florida International 38% 23
Connecticut 155 51% 24.5
South Florida 49% 24.4
East Carolina 77 78% 51
Tulsa 22% 28
Temple 27 92% 41
UCF 8% 11
Michigan 82 83% 32
Michigan State 17% 12
Minnesota 141 46% 18
Nebraska 54% 20
Washington 40 89% 50
Oregon 11% 17
Washington State 122 64% 34
Oregon State 36% 24
Colorado 130 42% 32
Arizona 58% 39
Utah 109 73% 37
Arizona State 27% 23
Baylor 110 82% 42
West Virginia 18% 31
Iowa State 103 29% 32
TCU 71% 46
Kansas 15 9% 27
Texas Tech 91% 73
Kansas State 164 56% 34
Oklahoma 44% 31
Clemson 130 71% 15
Boston College 29% 13
Florida State 132 67% 26
Louisville 33% 18
Georgia Tech 132 70% 38
Pittsburgh 30% 30
Miami (Florida) 156 57% 33
Virginia Tech 43% 29
North Carolina 76 81% 32
Wake Forest 19% 15
Virginia 150 56% 33
Syracuse 44% 29
Georgia 87 80% 27
Missouri 20% 14
LSU 152 44% 26
Florida 56% 33
Memphis 136 37% 32
Mississippi 63% 41
Mississippi State 76 82% 40
Louisiana Tech 18% 18
South Carolina 133 44% 18
Vanderbilt 56% 21
Texas A&M 163 43% 26.8
Alabama 57% 27.3
Wisconsin 86 75% 31
Purdue 25% 16
Florida Atlantic 113 38% 19
Marshall 62% 25
Northwestern 144 43% 13.7
Iowa 57% 14.3
Miami (Ohio) 82 27% 19
Northern Illinois 73% 34
Bowling Green 140 60% 36
Akron 40% 29
Massachusetts 123 62% 31
Kent State 38% 21
Troy 57 97% 50
Idaho 3% 27
Colorado State 153 53% 31
Air Force 47% 29
Old Dominion 69 90% 29
Charlotte 10% 13
Indiana 153 54% 34
Rutgers 46% 32
Georgia Southern 32 95% 62
New Mexico State 5% 24
Louisiana-Monroe 108 36% 21
Appalachian State 64% 30
Southern Mississippi 110 68% 37
UTSA 32% 24
New Mexico 136 57% 31
Hawai’i 43% 24
Notre Dame 146 34% 31
USC 66% 40
Ohio State 123 70% 28
Penn State 30% 18
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