2015 College Football Picks: Week 8

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Below you will find the college football picks for week 8.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 7 Results

  • Straight Up: 37-19 (66.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 24-31-1 (43.6%)
  • Over/Under: 26-29-1 (47.3%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 54 33 62.1%
60%-69.9% 62 23 72.9%
70%-79.9% 59 20 74.7%
80%-89.9% 51 11 82.3%
90%-100% 47 3 94.0%
Total 273 90 75.2%

Against the Spread

171-179-13 (48.9%)

Over/Under

187-173-3 (51.9%)

Week 8 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

October 20 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Arkansas State 119 68% 44
Louisiana-Lafayette 32% 33
October 22 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
East Carolina 144 44% 23
Temple 56% 29
Appalachian State 114 70% 39
Georgia Southern 30% 24
UCLA 162 58% 36
California 42% 30
October 23 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Memphis 69 81% 48
Tulsa 19% 23
San Diego State 111 36% 20
Utah State 64% 28
October 24 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Massachusetts 54 19% 14
Toledo 81% 35
Texas State 148 53% 47
South Alabama 47% 40
Buffalo 115 38% 21
Ohio 62% 29
Kent State 82 28% 19
Bowling Green 72% 36
Ball State 108 35% 26
Central Michigan 65% 36
Cincinnati 137 59% 30
Connecticut 41% 23
South Florida 73 80% 54
SMU 20% 30
UCF 63 22% 19
Houston 78% 41
Air Force 97 74% 44
Fresno State 26% 28
Boise State 5 95% 55
Wyoming 5% 14
Maryland 137 42% 24
Penn State 58% 29
Michigan State 84 77% 44
Indiana 23% 24
Nebraska 116 69% 22
Northwestern 31% 14
Arizona 150 59% 41
Washington State 41% 35
USC 132 77% 34
Utah 23% 26
Oregon State 153 51% 29
Colorado 49% 28
Stanford 142 72% 28
Washington 28% 25
Baylor 52 92% 61
Iowa State 8% 29
Oklahoma 108 75% 50
Texas Tech 25% 30
Oklahoma State 33 89% 43
Kansas 11% 14
Texas 163 52% 33
Kansas State 48% 32
Alabama 134 68% 32
Tennessee 32% 21
Arkansas 129 65% 32
Auburn 35% 23
LSU 137 68% 47
Western Kentucky 32% 35
Mississippi State 91 79% 33
Kentucky 21% 17
Mississippi 128 72% 35
Texas A&M 28% 25
Vanderbilt 147 52% 11.5
Missouri 48% 10.7
Louisville 157 57% 18
Boston College 43% 17
Miami (Florida) 138 40% 23
Clemson 60% 29
Virginia Tech 140 44% 17
Duke 56% 22
Georgia Tech 181 51% 34.6
Florida State 49% 34.5
North Carolina 57 86% 49
Virginia 14% 23
Wake Forest 108 36% 20
North Carolina State 64% 30
Syracuse 141 43% 28
Pittsburgh 57% 33
Rice 116 32% 37
Army 68% 45
Charlotte 58 16% 16
Southern Mississippi 84% 38
Navy 29 90% 54
Tulane 10% 19
Western Michigan 55 86% 49
Miami (Ohio) 14% 20
Marshall 15 99% 50
North Texas 1% 13
Illinois 155 54% 19
Wisconsin 46% 17
Louisiana Tech 159 52% 34
Middle Tennessee 48% 33
Northern Illinois 39 91% 55
Eastern Michigan 9% 23
Nevada 132 60% 27
Hawai’i 40% 21
Idaho 117 32% 31
Louisiana-Monroe 68% 38
Florida International 85 77% 34
Old Dominion 23% 19
UTEP 77 10% 22
Florida Atlantic 90% 32
San Jose State 130 63% 38
New Mexico 37% 30
Rutgers 93 28% 26
Ohio State 72% 42
New Mexico State 119 32% 30
Troy 68% 34
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