2015 College Football Picks: Week 9

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 9.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 8 Results

  • Straight Up: 46-9 (83.6%)
  • Against the Spread: 35-19-1 (64.8%)
  • Over/Under: 26-29 (47.3%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 66 36 64.7%
60%-69.9% 72 28 72.0%
70%-79.9% 71 20 78.0%
80%-89.9% 58 11 84.1%
90%-100% 52 4 92.9%
Total 319 99 76.3%

Against the Spread

206-198-14 (51%)

Over/Under

213-202-3 (51.3%)

Week 9 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

October 29 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Pittsburgh 133 37% 26
North Carolina 63% 32
TCU 129 72% 44
West Virginia 28% 33
Eastern Michigan 84 22% 36
Western Michigan 78% 55
Miami (Ohio) 121 38% 21
Buffalo 62% 26
Georgia Southern 56 85% 63
Texas State 15% 33
Arizona State 154 58% 37
Oregon 42% 32
October 30 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Wake Forest 104 35% 17
Louisville 65% 26
Connecticut 140 47% 23
East Carolina 53% 27
Rice 72 19% 31
Louisiana Tech 81% 52
Utah State 48 87% 47
Wyoming 13% 20
October 31 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Kansas 13 8% 16
Oklahoma 92% 53
California 142 34% 31
USC 66% 39
Texas A&M 67 81% 34
South Carolina 19% 15
Florida State 94 77% 36
Syracuse 23% 19
Auburn 107 29% 24
Mississippi 71% 38
Penn State 154 55% 22
Illinois 45% 19
Purdue 130 42% 24
Nebraska 58% 30
Wisconsin 85 76% 36
Rutgers 24% 18
Old Dominion 60 21% 24
Western Kentucky 79% 48
Cincinnati 59 85% 41
UCF 15% 16
Navy 141 63% 35
South Florida 37% 28
Boston College 115 68% 26
Virginia Tech 32% 14
Ball State 148 49% 30
Massachusetts 51% 32
Akron 143 47% 26
Central Michigan 53% 29
Southern Mississippi 21 99% 56
UTEP 1% 18
Virginia 93 28% 29
Georgia Tech 72% 45
UCLA 77 79% 39
Colorado 21% 20
North Carolina State 125 34% 22
Clemson 66% 32
Georgia 172 51% 26.2
Florida 49% 26.0
Charlotte 47 12% 12
Marshall 88% 33
Florida Atlantic 123 41% 21
Florida International 59% 27
Texas Tech 159 48% 35
Oklahoma State 52% 41
Iowa 56 85% 42
Maryland 15% 16
UNLV 118 38% 23
Boise State 62% 31
Colorado State 148 56% 27
San Diego State 44% 24
Appalachian State 65 82% 38
Troy 18% 16
SMU 149 45% 41
Tulsa 55% 43
Louisiana-Lafayette 109 69% 42
Louisiana-Monroe 31% 28
Arkansas State 116 66% 37
Georgia State 34% 26
Memphis 46 86% 55
Tulane 14% 24
Utah 41 88% 44
Oregon State 12% 16
Houston 115 69% 24
Vanderbilt 31% 16
Duke 98 74% 31
Miami (Florida) 26% 16
Minnesota 86 26% 11
Michigan 74% 23
Iowa State 158 52% 32.0
Texas 48% 31.5
North Texas 80 14% 21
UTSA 86% 33
Kentucky 109 32% 23
Tennessee 68% 34
Temple 168 48% 27.8
Notre Dame 52% 28.0
New Mexico State 132 38% 33
Idaho 62% 38
Hawai’i 139 46% 25
Air Force 54% 30
Washington State 95 25% 29
Stanford 75% 47
Washington 98 76% 41
Arizona 24% 22
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