2015 College Football Picks: Week 12

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 12.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 11 Results

  • Straight Up: 44-14 (75.9%)
  • Against the Spread: 27-31 (46.6%)
  • Over/Under: 31-27 (53.4%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 90 53 62.9%
60%-69.9% 105 38 73.4%
70%-79.9% 105 31 77.2%
80%-89.9% 85 15 85.0%
90%-100% 61 4 93.8%
Total 446 141 76.0%

Against the Spread

286-284-17 (50.2%)

Over/Under

293-291-3 (50.2%)

Week 12 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

November 17 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Ohio 108 69% 32
Ball State 31% 22
Bowling Green 156 60% 31
Toledo 40% 27
November 18 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Kent State 93 32% 15
Central Michigan 68% 26
Northern Illinois 119 66% 41
Western Michigan 34% 29
November 19 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
UCF 74 23% 19
East Carolina 77% 37
Texas State 141 55% 38
Louisiana-Monroe 45% 32
November 20 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
South Florida 125 65% 36
Cincinnati 35% 26
Boise State 126 65% 34
Air Force 35% 24
November 21 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Georgia State 106 72% 38
South Alabama 28% 27
Louisiana-Lafayette 81 85% 48
New Mexico State 15% 31
Massachusetts 100 73% 32
Miami (Ohio) 27% 20
Akron 135 59% 26
Buffalo 41% 21
BYU 53 83% 45
Fresno State 17% 20
Utah State 97 72% 38
Nevada 28% 23
Connecticut 122 41% 21
Houston 59% 26
SMU 144 53% 40
Tulane 47% 33
Temple 153 59% 36
Memphis 41% 29
Tulsa 70 24% 27
Navy 76% 48
UTEP 30 9% 21
Louisiana Tech 91% 53
Kansas 56 21% 19
West Virginia 79% 40
Kansas State 125 65% 39
Iowa State 35% 29
Oklahoma 101 80% 48
TCU 20% 26
Oklahoma State 177 52% 44
Baylor 48% 41
Iowa 73 79% 39
Purdue 21% 19
Maryland 129 63% 38
Indiana 37% 30
Minnesota 151 54% 22
Illinois 46% 20
Ohio State 100 79% 37
Michigan State 21% 20
Penn State 135 39% 18
Michigan 61% 23
Wisconsin 100 72% 21
Northwestern 28% 11
Arkansas 171 56% 32
Mississippi State 44% 31
Auburn 25 94% 52
Idaho 6% 19
Florida 28 89% 39
Florida Atlantic 11% 11
Georgia 120 67% 34
Georgia Southern 33% 22
Kentucky 51 89% 36
Charlotte 11% 13
Missouri 112 36% 14
Tennessee 64% 19
Mississippi 144 67% 40
LSU 33% 30
Vanderbilt 130 44% 14
Texas A&M 56% 17
Clemson 41 87% 37
Wake Forest 13% 13
Virginia 142 47% 26
Duke 53% 28
Miami (Florida) 132 40% 31
Georgia Tech 60% 37
Pittsburgh 154 58% 27
Louisville 42% 24
Virginia Tech 93 24% 25
North Carolina 76% 40
North Carolina State 122 67% 39
Syracuse 33% 28
Arizona State 158 55% 37
Arizona 45% 34
Oregon 156 43% 37
USC 57% 44
Utah 154 60% 29
UCLA 40% 24
Washington State 97 72% 38
Colorado 28% 23
Oregon State 56 21% 15
Washington 79% 34
Stanford 140 68% 40
California 32% 31
Army 153 54% 36
Rutgers 46% 35
Middle Tennessee 37 93% 46
North Texas 7% 17
Florida International 103 34% 30
Western Kentucky 66% 43
Southern Mississippi 45 87% 47
Old Dominion 13% 20
New Mexico 148 57% 33
Colorado State 43% 29
UTSA 78 89% 41
Rice 11% 28
Notre Dame 103 78% 26
Boston College 22% 17
UNLV 136 44% 26
San Diego State 56% 30
San Jose State 101 71% 35
Hawai’i 29% 21
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s