2015 College Football Picks: Weeks 14 & 15

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 14. Additionally, since Army and Navy have their own week of football, I’ve also included week 15 in this post, too.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 13 Results

  • Straight Up: 44-17 (72.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 29-32-1 (47.5%)
  • Over/Under: 29-32-1 (47.5%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 115 71 61.8%
60%-69.9% 126 46 73.3%
70%-79.9% 129 37 77.7%
80%-89.9% 97 16 85.8%
90%-100% 65 4 94.2%
Total 532 174 75.4%

Against the Spread

346-343-18 (50.2%)

Over/Under

355-347-5 (50.6%)

Week 14 & 15 picks after the jump.

Remember, the GWR or “Game Watch Rating” is supposed to tell you whether or not a game should be worth watching. If you need a reminder on how to interpret or what the number takes into account, please go back and see the picks from week 1.

Now, the picks!

December 4 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Bowling Green 143 59% 34
Northern Illinois 41% 29
December 5 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Baylor 81 82% 50
Texas 18% 30
Kansas State 141 45% 28
West Virginia 55% 33
South Alabama 42 19% 22
Appalachian State 81% 44
Louisiana-Lafayette 149 48% 30
Troy 52% 31
Georgia Southern 71 76% 42
Georgia State 24% 22
Louisiana-Monroe 143 56% 34
New Mexico State 44% 32
Arkansas State 69 81% 50
Texas State 19% 28
Iowa 148 59% 31
Michigan State 41% 25
Alabama 125 68% 23
Florida 32% 17
Stanford 155 62% 38
USC 38% 33
Clemson 146 34% 29
North Carolina 66% 34
Houston 149 53% 27.8
Temple 47% 27.7
Western Kentucky 133 65% 44
Southern Mississippi 35% 34
San Diego State 132 62% 34
Air Force 38% 26
December 12 GWR Win Probability Projected Score
Navy 29 84% 54
Army 16% 24
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