2015 College Football Picks: Bowl Games

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Below you will find the college football picks for every bowl game.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 14 & 15 Results

  • Straight Up: 11-5 (68.8%)
  • Against the Spread: 7-9 (43.8%)
  • Over/Under: 7-9 (43.8%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 119 73 62.0%
60%-69.9% 130 47 73.4%
70%-79.9% 129 38 77.2%
80%-89.9% 100 17 85.5%
90%-100% 65 4 94.2%
Total 543 179 75.2%

Against the Spread

353-352-18 (50.1%)

Over/Under

362-356-5 (50.4%)

Bowl picks after the jump.

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2015 College Football Picks: Weeks 14 & 15

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Below you will find the college football picks for week 14. Additionally, since Army and Navy have their own week of football, I’ve also included week 15 in this post, too.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 13 Results

  • Straight Up: 44-17 (72.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 29-32-1 (47.5%)
  • Over/Under: 29-32-1 (47.5%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 115 71 61.8%
60%-69.9% 126 46 73.3%
70%-79.9% 129 37 77.7%
80%-89.9% 97 16 85.8%
90%-100% 65 4 94.2%
Total 532 174 75.4%

Against the Spread

346-343-18 (50.2%)

Over/Under

355-347-5 (50.6%)

Week 14 & 15 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 13

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 13.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 12 Results

  • Straight Up: 42-16 (72.4%)
  • Against the Spread: 31-27 (53.4%)
  • Over/Under: 33-24-1 (57.9%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 99 60 62.3%
60%-69.9% 117 43 73.1%
70%-79.9% 116 34 77.3%
80%-89.9% 92 16 85.2%
90%-100% 64 4 94.1%
Total 488 157 75.7%

Against the Spread

317-311-17 (50.5%)

Over/Under

326-315-4 (50.9%)

Week 13 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 12

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 12.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 11 Results

  • Straight Up: 44-14 (75.9%)
  • Against the Spread: 27-31 (46.6%)
  • Over/Under: 31-27 (53.4%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 90 53 62.9%
60%-69.9% 105 38 73.4%
70%-79.9% 105 31 77.2%
80%-89.9% 85 15 85.0%
90%-100% 61 4 93.8%
Total 446 141 76.0%

Against the Spread

286-284-17 (50.2%)

Over/Under

293-291-3 (50.2%)

Week 12 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 11

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 11.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 10 Results

  • Straight Up: 43-16 (72.9%)
  • Against the Spread: 29-28-2 (50.9%)
  • Over/Under: 27-32 (45.8%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 81 49 62.3%
60%-69.9% 90 35 72.0%
70%-79.9% 96 26 78.7%
80%-89.9% 78 13 85.7%
90%-100% 57 4 93.4%
Total 402 127 76.0%

Against the Spread

259-253-17 (50.6%)

Over/Under

262-264-3 (49.8%)

Week 10 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 10

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 10.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 9 Results

  • Straight Up: 38-12 (76%)
  • Against the Spread: 24-27-1 (47.1%)
  • Over/Under: 22-30 (42.3%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 73 43 62.9%
60%-69.9% 83 30 73.5%
70%-79.9% 79 22 78.2%
80%-89.9% 68 12 85.0%
90%-100% 54 4 93.1%
Total 357 111 76.3%

Against the Spread

230-225-15 (50.5%)

Over/Under

235-232-3 (50.3%)

Week 10 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 9

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 9.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 8 Results

  • Straight Up: 46-9 (83.6%)
  • Against the Spread: 35-19-1 (64.8%)
  • Over/Under: 26-29 (47.3%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 66 36 64.7%
60%-69.9% 72 28 72.0%
70%-79.9% 71 20 78.0%
80%-89.9% 58 11 84.1%
90%-100% 52 4 92.9%
Total 319 99 76.3%

Against the Spread

206-198-14 (51%)

Over/Under

213-202-3 (51.3%)

Week 9 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 8

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 8.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 7 Results

  • Straight Up: 37-19 (66.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 24-31-1 (43.6%)
  • Over/Under: 26-29-1 (47.3%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 54 33 62.1%
60%-69.9% 62 23 72.9%
70%-79.9% 59 20 74.7%
80%-89.9% 51 11 82.3%
90%-100% 47 3 94.0%
Total 273 90 75.2%

Against the Spread

171-179-13 (48.9%)

Over/Under

187-173-3 (51.9%)

Week 8 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 7

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 7.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 6 Results

  • Straight Up: 41-14 (74.6%)
  • Against the Spread: 25-28-2 (47.2%)
  • Over/Under: 32-23 (58.2%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 46 27 63.0%
60%-69.9% 50 18 73.5%
70%-79.9% 52 17 75.4%
80%-89.9% 47 7 87.0%
90%-100% 41 2 95.3%
Total 236 71 76.9%

Against the Spread

147-148-12 (49.8%)

Over/Under

161-144-2 (52.8%)

Week 7 picks after the jump.

2015 College Football Picks: Week 6

Sports

Below you will find the college football picks for week 6.

These are pretty self-explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

Additionally, since we are still early in the season and not many games have actually been played, remember some of these are still influenced by preseason projections. The projections will fade out once each team has played 5 games.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

If you want to see last week’s picks, click here.

Week 5 Results

  • Straight Up: 43-15 (74.1%)
  • Against the Spread: 30-28 (51.7%)
  • Over/Under: 25-32-1 (43.9%)

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability Correct Wrong % Correct
50%-59.9% 41 23 64.1%
60%-69.9% 39 13 75.0%
70%-79.9% 39 14 73.6%
80%-89.9% 40 6 87.0%
90%-100% 36 1 97.3%
Total 195 57 77.4%

Against the Spread

122-120-10 (50.4%)

Over/Under

129-121-2 (51.6%)

Week 6 picks after the jump.